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📉 Hubris And Risk

Stories and analyses of catastrophic miscalculation, where overconfidence in one's own judgment leads to risks that should never have been taken.
Drift into Failure
by Sidney Dekker • 2011
Hunting the broken part misses real failure: slow, rational erosion inside everyday decisions.
4.01
343
🦺 Safety Science⚠️ Risk Normalization🕸️ Systemic Risk🤦 Human Error🛡️ Regulatory Failure
Drift into Failure Summary
Drift into Failure 88%
Hunting the broken part misses real failure: slow, rational erosion inside everyday decisions.
by Sidney Dekker 2011
4.01
343 ratings
🦺 Safety Science⚠️ Risk Normalization🕸️ Systemic Risk🤦 Human Error🛡️ Regulatory Failure
Tiny Blunders/Big Disasters
by Jared Knott • 2020
History turns on unopened letters, wrong turns, and badly designed ballots, not grand strategy.
4.01
2k+
📖 Narrative History⚠️ Cautionary History🔗 Unintended Consequences💡 Human Error🏛️ Hubris And Overreach
Tiny Blunders/Big Disasters Summary
Tiny Blunders/Big Disasters 87%
History turns on unopened letters, wrong turns, and badly designed ballots, not grand strategy.
by Jared Knott 2020
4.01
2k+ ratings
📖 Narrative History⚠️ Cautionary History🔗 Unintended Consequences💡 Human Error🏛️ Hubris And Overreach
Fooled By Randomness & The Black Swan
by Nassim Nicholas Taleb • 2008
Stability is an illusion, prediction is a scam: the architecture of a life that needs the chaos.
4.17
287
🎲 Probability Theory⚠️ Hidden Risks🧠 Cognitive Biases💼 Behavioral Economics🔍 Skeptical Empiricism
Fooled By Randomness & The Black Swan Summary
Fooled By Randomness & The Black Swan 87%
Stability is an illusion, prediction is a scam: the architecture of a life that needs the chaos.
by Nassim Nicholas Taleb 2008
4.17
287 ratings
🎲 Probability Theory⚠️ Hidden Risks🧠 Cognitive Biases💼 Behavioral Economics🔍 Skeptical Empiricism
When Genius Failed
by Roger Lowenstein • 2000
Two Nobel laureates and a trillion dollars in bets. Then a Russian default upended the models.
4.20
32k+
🏦 Hedge Funds🔥 Financial Crises🛡️ Risk Management📊 Model Risk⛓️ Systemic Risk
When Genius Failed Summary
When Genius Failed 87%
Two Nobel laureates and a trillion dollars in bets. Then a Russian default upended the models.
by Roger Lowenstein 2000
4.20
32k+ ratings
🏦 Hedge Funds🔥 Financial Crises🛡️ Risk Management📊 Model Risk⛓️ Systemic Risk
The Black Swan
by Nassim Nicholas Taleb • 2007
The bell curve is a map that fails exactly where the terrain gets dangerous.
3.96
123k+
🛡️ Risk Management🎲 Tail Risk🧠 Cognitive Biases📊 Behavioral Economics🔬 Scientific Skepticism
The Black Swan Summary
The Black Swan 87%
The bell curve is a map that fails exactly where the terrain gets dangerous.
by Nassim Nicholas Taleb 2007
3.96
123k+ ratings
🛡️ Risk Management🎲 Tail Risk🧠 Cognitive Biases📊 Behavioral Economics🔬 Scientific Skepticism
What Do You Care What Other People Think?
by Richard P. Feynman • 1988
A glass of ice water and an O-ring: how Feynman exposed NASA's fatal blind spot.
4.19
31k+
🏛️ Organizational Failure⚠️ Normalization Of Deviance🚀 Space Exploration💥 Engineering Disasters⚙️ Management Vs Engineering
What Do You Care What Other People Think? Summary
What Do You Care What Other People Think? 87%
A glass of ice water and an O-ring: how Feynman exposed NASA's fatal blind spot.
by Richard P. Feynman 1988
4.19
31k+ ratings
🏛️ Organizational Failure⚠️ Normalization Of Deviance🚀 Space Exploration💥 Engineering Disasters⚙️ Management Vs Engineering
A Demon of Our Own Design
by Richard Bookstaber • 2007
Why safer economies create more volatile markets: a hidden design flaw that turns progress to peril.
3.92
1k+
🏦 Financial Markets⚠️ Systemic Risk🔧 Financial Engineering🕸️ Complex Systems📉 Financial Crises
A Demon of Our Own Design Summary
A Demon of Our Own Design 87%
Why safer economies create more volatile markets: a hidden design flaw that turns progress to peril.
by Richard Bookstaber 2007
3.92
1k+ ratings
🏦 Financial Markets⚠️ Systemic Risk🔧 Financial Engineering🕸️ Complex Systems📉 Financial Crises
The Failure of Risk Management
by Douglas W. Hubbard • 2009
Standard risk management makes decisions worse than guessing. The fix is simpler than you think.
3.95
413
🛡️ Risk Management📊 Quantitative Risk🧠 Cognitive Biases🔍 Decision Analysis📐 Bayesian Methods
The Failure of Risk Management Summary
The Failure of Risk Management 87%
Standard risk management makes decisions worse than guessing. The fix is simpler than you think.
by Douglas W. Hubbard 2009
3.95
413 ratings
🛡️ Risk Management📊 Quantitative Risk🧠 Cognitive Biases🔍 Decision Analysis📐 Bayesian Methods
A Failure of Capitalism
by Richard A. Posner • 2009
The 2008 crash wasn't a panic; it was a depression built by rational bankers and blind regulators.
3.71
352
📉 Financial Crises🫧 Asset Bubbles🗂️ Deregulation🏦 Too Big To Fail🕸️ Systemic Risk
A Failure of Capitalism Summary
A Failure of Capitalism 87%
The 2008 crash wasn't a panic; it was a depression built by rational bankers and blind regulators.
by Richard A. Posner 2009
3.71
352 ratings
📉 Financial Crises🫧 Asset Bubbles🗂️ Deregulation🏦 Too Big To Fail🕸️ Systemic Risk
The Challenger Launch Decision
by Diane Vaughan • 1997
The chain of small failures that precedes every disaster, and where to break it.
4.08
459
🔥 Organizational Failure⚡ Crisis Leadership📉 Risk Normalization🎯 Risk Assessment🛡️ Disaster Prevention
The Challenger Launch Decision Summary
The Challenger Launch Decision 87%
The chain of small failures that precedes every disaster, and where to break it.
by Diane Vaughan 1997
4.08
459 ratings
🔥 Organizational Failure⚡ Crisis Leadership📉 Risk Normalization🎯 Risk Assessment🛡️ Disaster Prevention
Against the Gods
by Peter L. Bernstein • 1996
The modern world began when humans stopped blaming the gods and started calculating the odds.
3.95
15k+
🛡️ Risk Management📜 Financial History🎲 Probability Theory🏛️ Intellectual History🧠 Behavioral Economics
Against the Gods Summary
Against the Gods 87%
The modern world began when humans stopped blaming the gods and started calculating the odds.
by Peter L. Bernstein 1996
3.95
15k+ ratings
🛡️ Risk Management📜 Financial History🎲 Probability Theory🏛️ Intellectual History🧠 Behavioral Economics
The March of Folly
by Barbara W. Tuchman • 1984
From Troy to Vietnam, power makes governments ignore the warnings right in front of them.
4.03
7k+
📜 Political History⚔️ Military History🤦 Political Folly🎭 Hubris👥 Groupthink
The March of Folly Summary
The March of Folly 87%
From Troy to Vietnam, power makes governments ignore the warnings right in front of them.
by Barbara W. Tuchman 1984
4.03
7k+ ratings
📜 Political History⚔️ Military History🤦 Political Folly🎭 Hubris👥 Groupthink
Incerto 4-Book Bundle
by Nassim Nicholas Taleb • 2011
Some things get stronger from disorder. Most of what we build gets this backward.
4.57
497
🔒 Tail Risk🔗 Complex Systems🔮 Prediction Limits🎯 Incentive Alignment⚔️ Modern Stoicism
Incerto 4-Book Bundle Summary
Incerto 4-Book Bundle 87%
Some things get stronger from disorder. Most of what we build gets this backward.
by Nassim Nicholas Taleb 2011
4.57
497 ratings
🔒 Tail Risk🔗 Complex Systems🔮 Prediction Limits🎯 Incentive Alignment⚔️ Modern Stoicism
Antifragile
by Nassim Nicholas Taleb • 2012
Predicting catastrophe is impossible. Designing a life that profits from chaos is not.
4.10
58k+
🔒 Risk Management🧩 Systems Thinking🔄 Trial And Error🧠 Behavioral Economics🏛️ Modern Stoicism
Antifragile Summary
Antifragile 87%
Predicting catastrophe is impossible. Designing a life that profits from chaos is not.
by Nassim Nicholas Taleb 2012
4.10
58k+ ratings
🔒 Risk Management🧩 Systems Thinking🔄 Trial And Error🧠 Behavioral Economics🏛️ Modern Stoicism
House of Cards
by William D. Cohan • 2009
A Wall Street titan on Wednesday, a two-dollar stock on Sunday: the unraveling of Bear Stearns.
3.94
7k+
📆 2008 Financial Crisis🥂 Wall Street Culture🏦 Investment Banks💥 Corporate Collapse💧 Leverage And Liquidity
House of Cards Summary
House of Cards 87%
A Wall Street titan on Wednesday, a two-dollar stock on Sunday: the unraveling of Bear Stearns.
by William D. Cohan 2009
3.94
7k+ ratings
📆 2008 Financial Crisis🥂 Wall Street Culture🏦 Investment Banks💥 Corporate Collapse💧 Leverage And Liquidity
If Anyone Builds It, Everyone Dies
by Eliezer Yudkowsky • 2025
Superhuman AI kills without malice. Its goals turn our atoms into raw material, not our future.
3.92
7k+
🛡️ Ai Safety⚠️ Existential Risk🏁 Technology Arms Races🌐 Global Governance🏚️ Institutional Failure
If Anyone Builds It, Everyone Dies Summary
If Anyone Builds It, Everyone Dies 87%
Superhuman AI kills without malice. Its goals turn our atoms into raw material, not our future.
by Eliezer Yudkowsky 2025
3.92
7k+ ratings
🛡️ Ai Safety⚠️ Existential Risk🏁 Technology Arms Races🌐 Global Governance🏚️ Institutional Failure
Chaos Kings
by Scott Patterson • 2023
They lose money every day on purpose, because one market crash will repay everything.
3.75
1k+
📉 Catastrophe Investing🔄 Hedge Fund Strategies🌐 Systemic Fragility📊 Risk Modeling Failure🔮 Limits Of Prediction
Chaos Kings Summary
Chaos Kings 87%
They lose money every day on purpose, because one market crash will repay everything.
by Scott Patterson 2023
3.75
1k+ ratings
📉 Catastrophe Investing🔄 Hedge Fund Strategies🌐 Systemic Fragility📊 Risk Modeling Failure🔮 Limits Of Prediction
How The Mighty Fall
by Jim Collins • 2009
Success plants the seeds of collapse: five stages from arrogance to bankruptcy.
3.99
10k+
🏚️ Corporate Decline📊 Business Case Studies😤 Hubris And Overreach🔄 Turnarounds📋 Evidence-Based Management
How The Mighty Fall Summary
How The Mighty Fall 86%
Success plants the seeds of collapse: five stages from arrogance to bankruptcy.
by Jim Collins 2009
3.99
10k+ ratings
🏚️ Corporate Decline📊 Business Case Studies😤 Hubris And Overreach🔄 Turnarounds📋 Evidence-Based Management
Normal Accidents
by Charles Perrow • 1984
The safer we try to make a system, the more unknowable its failure modes become.
4.05
704
🏭 Sociotechnical Systems⛓️‍💥 Systemic Failure🪜 Cascading Failures🔁 Unintended Consequences☢️ Technological Risk
Normal Accidents Summary
Normal Accidents 86%
The safer we try to make a system, the more unknowable its failure modes become.
by Charles Perrow 1984
4.05
704 ratings
🏭 Sociotechnical Systems⛓️‍💥 Systemic Failure🪜 Cascading Failures🔁 Unintended Consequences☢️ Technological Risk
The Gray Rhino
by Michele Wucker • 2016
Obvious, predictable threats destroy more than surprises do, and we ignore them anyway.
3.57
391
🛡️ Risk Management🚨 Crisis Leadership🧠 Cognitive Biases📊 Behavioral Economics🔗 Systems Thinking
The Gray Rhino Summary
The Gray Rhino 86%
Obvious, predictable threats destroy more than surprises do, and we ignore them anyway.
by Michele Wucker 2016
3.57
391 ratings
🛡️ Risk Management🚨 Crisis Leadership🧠 Cognitive Biases📊 Behavioral Economics🔗 Systems Thinking
Risk
by Stanley McChrystal • 2021
In 1983, one man's doubt stopped a nuclear war. The lesson for your organization's risk systems.
3.64
799
📊 Risk Management🧠 Decision Biases🔄 Systems Thinking🚨 Crisis Management🎖 Military Leadership
Risk Summary
Risk 86%
In 1983, one man's doubt stopped a nuclear war. The lesson for your organization's risk systems.
by Stanley McChrystal 2021
3.64
799 ratings
📊 Risk Management🧠 Decision Biases🔄 Systems Thinking🚨 Crisis Management🎖 Military Leadership
Our Final Invention
by James Barrat • 2013
An intelligence greater than human will not hate us; it simply won't need us.
3.72
4k+
🤖 Ai Safety⚠️ Existential Risk🧠 Superintelligence🧩 Alignment Problem⚔️ Ai Arms Race
Our Final Invention Summary
Our Final Invention 86%
An intelligence greater than human will not hate us; it simply won't need us.
by James Barrat 2013
3.72
4k+ ratings
🤖 Ai Safety⚠️ Existential Risk🧠 Superintelligence🧩 Alignment Problem⚔️ Ai Arms Race
The Cult of We
by Eliot Brown • 2021
An office landlord convinced Wall Street he was worth $47 billion. Then the IPO filing landed.
4.26
7k+
💼 Startup Culture📊 Corporate Governance💰 Venture Capital🫠 Founder Hubris🔥 Unicorn Flameouts
The Cult of We Summary
The Cult of We 86%
An office landlord convinced Wall Street he was worth $47 billion. Then the IPO filing landed.
by Eliot Brown 2021
4.26
7k+ ratings
💼 Startup Culture📊 Corporate Governance💰 Venture Capital🫠 Founder Hubris🔥 Unicorn Flameouts
Ego Is the Enemy
by Ryan Holiday • 2016
Ego fuels the climb, poisons the summit, and blocks the comeback. Restraint is the only fix.
4.13
90k+
🏛️ Modern Stoicism🔄 Anti-Self-Help🧘 Self-Restraint🪨 Stoic Resilience🤲 Leadership Humility
Ego Is the Enemy Summary
Ego Is the Enemy 86%
Ego fuels the climb, poisons the summit, and blocks the comeback. Restraint is the only fix.
by Ryan Holiday 2016
4.13
90k+ ratings
🏛️ Modern Stoicism🔄 Anti-Self-Help🧘 Self-Restraint🪨 Stoic Resilience🤲 Leadership Humility
Theories, Predictions, and Diagnoses
by Malcolm Gladwell • 2009
Most failures of expertise come from treating one kind of problem as if it were another.
3.99
1k+
🧠 Cognitive Biases🤔 Decision Theory📊 Information Overload💥 Failure Analysis💡 Counterintuitive
Theories, Predictions, and Diagnoses Summary
Theories, Predictions, and Diagnoses 86%
Most failures of expertise come from treating one kind of problem as if it were another.
by Malcolm Gladwell 2009
3.99
1k+ ratings
🧠 Cognitive Biases🤔 Decision Theory📊 Information Overload💥 Failure Analysis💡 Counterintuitive
What Should We Be Worried About? Real Scenarios That Keep Scientists Up at Night
by John Brockman • 2014
Cognitive traps. Fragile networks. Captured watchdogs. The real fears of a hundred scientists.
3.45
1k+
🧨 Existential Risk🧠 Cognitive Biases⚠️ Risk Perception🕸️ Complex Systems🏛️ Institutional Failure
What Should We Be Worried About? Real Scenarios That Keep Scientists Up at Night Summary
What Should We Be Worried About? Real Scenarios That Keep Scientists Up at Night 86%
Cognitive traps. Fragile networks. Captured watchdogs. The real fears of a hundred scientists.
by John Brockman 2014
3.45
1k+ ratings
🧨 Existential Risk🧠 Cognitive Biases⚠️ Risk Perception🕸️ Complex Systems🏛️ Institutional Failure
Skin in the Game
by Nassim Nicholas Taleb • 2018
Your opinion only counts if you have something to lose. Without that, expertise is theater.
3.91
32k+
🎲 Asymmetric Risk⚖️ Incentive Alignment🛡️ Risk Management🗳️ Minority Influence🔨 Practitioner Knowledge
Skin in the Game Summary
Skin in the Game 86%
Your opinion only counts if you have something to lose. Without that, expertise is theater.
by Nassim Nicholas Taleb 2018
3.91
32k+ ratings
🎲 Asymmetric Risk⚖️ Incentive Alignment🛡️ Risk Management🗳️ Minority Influence🔨 Practitioner Knowledge
The Precipice
by Toby Ord • 2020
The next hundred years will decide if humanity colonizes the galaxy or destroys itself trying.
3.94
5k+
🧨 Existential Risk⏳ Longtermism🤖 Ai Safety☢️ Nuclear Risk🦠 Pandemic Preparedness
The Precipice Summary
The Precipice 86%
The next hundred years will decide if humanity colonizes the galaxy or destroys itself trying.
by Toby Ord 2020
3.94
5k+ ratings
🧨 Existential Risk⏳ Longtermism🤖 Ai Safety☢️ Nuclear Risk🦠 Pandemic Preparedness
The Bankers' New Clothes
by Anat Admati • 2013
The simple fix for the next financial crisis: make banks use 20% equity, not 2%.
3.83
776
🏦 Banking Regulation🐍 Regulatory Capture🏛️ Too Big To Fail⚠️ Moral Hazard📉 Leverage
The Bankers' New Clothes Summary
The Bankers' New Clothes 86%
The simple fix for the next financial crisis: make banks use 20% equity, not 2%.
by Anat Admati 2013
3.83
776 ratings
🏦 Banking Regulation🐍 Regulatory Capture🏛️ Too Big To Fail⚠️ Moral Hazard📉 Leverage
The Johnstown Flood
by David McCullough • 1968
2,200 dead, a city erased in ten minutes. The dam's owners were never held accountable.
4.13
26k+
🌊 Disaster History🎩 Gilded Age⚙️ Engineering Failures🏭 Corporate Negligence📖 Narrative History
The Johnstown Flood Summary
The Johnstown Flood 86%
2,200 dead, a city erased in ten minutes. The dam's owners were never held accountable.
by David McCullough 1968
4.13
26k+ ratings
🌊 Disaster History🎩 Gilded Age⚙️ Engineering Failures🏭 Corporate Negligence📖 Narrative History
Fooled by Randomness
by Nassim Nicholas Taleb • 2001
Ten thousand coin-flippers produce three hundred geniuses. The biographies write themselves.
4.08
72k+
📈 Financial Markets🔬 Behavioral Economics🧠 Cognitive Biases🎲 Risk Management🔍 Decision Quality
Fooled by Randomness Summary
Fooled by Randomness 86%
Ten thousand coin-flippers produce three hundred geniuses. The biographies write themselves.
by Nassim Nicholas Taleb 2001
4.08
72k+ ratings
📈 Financial Markets🔬 Behavioral Economics🧠 Cognitive Biases🎲 Risk Management🔍 Decision Quality
Rogue Trader
by Nick Leeson • 1996
A 233-year-old bank collapsed because one young trader was allowed to hide his own losses.
3.93
1k+
🔍 Financial Fraud🏦 Banking Failures📊 Derivatives Trading⚠️ Risk Management📝 Confession Memoirs
Rogue Trader Summary
Rogue Trader 86%
A 233-year-old bank collapsed because one young trader was allowed to hide his own losses.
by Nick Leeson 1996
3.93
1k+ ratings
🔍 Financial Fraud🏦 Banking Failures📊 Derivatives Trading⚠️ Risk Management📝 Confession Memoirs
What's the Worst That Could Happen?
by Andrew Leigh • 2021
A one in six chance of extinction this century. The cause is not technology but politics.
3.81
53
💥 Existential Risk⏳ Longtermism🏛️ Democratic Erosion📢 Populism🧘 Modern Stoicism
What's the Worst That Could Happen? Summary
What's the Worst That Could Happen? 86%
A one in six chance of extinction this century. The cause is not technology but politics.
by Andrew Leigh 2021
3.81
53 ratings
💥 Existential Risk⏳ Longtermism🏛️ Democratic Erosion📢 Populism🧘 Modern Stoicism
How Not to Get Rich
by Alan Pell Crawford • 2014
Before he was America's most beloved author, Mark Twain was its most disastrous investor.
3.63
123
🏦 Financial Biography🎩 Gilded Age✍️ Literary Biography📉 Business Failures🎲 Speculation
How Not to Get Rich Summary
How Not to Get Rich 86%
Before he was America's most beloved author, Mark Twain was its most disastrous investor.
by Alan Pell Crawford 2014
3.63
123 ratings
🏦 Financial Biography🎩 Gilded Age✍️ Literary Biography📉 Business Failures🎲 Speculation
On the Edge
by Nate Silver • 2024
One tribe calculates risk; one avoids it. This divide now shapes American life more than politics.
3.66
6k+
🎲 Risk Cultures📊 Quantitative Thinking🎮 Game Theory🧠 Behavioral Economics⚔️ Culture Wars
On the Edge Summary
On the Edge 86%
One tribe calculates risk; one avoids it. This divide now shapes American life more than politics.
by Nate Silver 2024
3.66
6k+ ratings
🎲 Risk Cultures📊 Quantitative Thinking🎮 Game Theory🧠 Behavioral Economics⚔️ Culture Wars
The Money Trap
by Alok Sama • 2024
He brokered SoftBank's biggest bets. Then he realized the money was never the point.
4.09
2k+
🏦 Wall Street Memoir💰 Venture Capital💭 Wealth Psychology📉 Boom And Bust Cycles🌏 Cross-Cultural Business
The Money Trap Summary
The Money Trap 86%
He brokered SoftBank's biggest bets. Then he realized the money was never the point.
by Alok Sama 2024
4.09
2k+ ratings
🏦 Wall Street Memoir💰 Venture Capital💭 Wealth Psychology📉 Boom And Bust Cycles🌏 Cross-Cultural Business
Giants of Enterprise
by Richard S. Tedlow • 2001
Seven titans built American business. The power they won then turned on them.
4.25
2k+
📜 Business History🇺🇸 American Capitalism🏭 Industrial Innovation🛍️ Consumer Culture🏷️ Brand Building
Giants of Enterprise Summary
Giants of Enterprise 86%
Seven titans built American business. The power they won then turned on them.
by Richard S. Tedlow 2001
4.25
2k+ ratings
📜 Business History🇺🇸 American Capitalism🏭 Industrial Innovation🛍️ Consumer Culture🏷️ Brand Building
Swimming With Sharks
by Joris Luyendijk • 2015
Inside London's financial tribe: how it nearly collapsed the world economy, and why it still could.
3.84
7k+
🏦 Investment Banking💥 Financial Crisis⚠️ Systemic Risk🎯 Perverse Incentives🔍 Workplace Ethnography
Swimming With Sharks Summary
Swimming With Sharks 86%
Inside London's financial tribe: how it nearly collapsed the world economy, and why it still could.
by Joris Luyendijk 2015
3.84
7k+ ratings
🏦 Investment Banking💥 Financial Crisis⚠️ Systemic Risk🎯 Perverse Incentives🔍 Workplace Ethnography
The Power of Noticing
by Max H. Bazerman • 2014
The worst failures were visible beforehand; the missing ingredient was never data but attention.
3.40
437
🧠 Cognitive Biases💰 Behavioral Economics🏢 Organizational Culture⚠️ Risk Management👔 Executive Leadership
The Power of Noticing Summary
The Power of Noticing 86%
The worst failures were visible beforehand; the missing ingredient was never data but attention.
by Max H. Bazerman 2014
3.40
437 ratings
🧠 Cognitive Biases💰 Behavioral Economics🏢 Organizational Culture⚠️ Risk Management👔 Executive Leadership
Risk
by Daniel Gardner • 2008
Motorcycle crashes kill more than terrorists. Your brain's shortcuts make you fear the wrong one.
3.96
6k+
🧠 Cognitive Biases⚠️ Risk Perception🏛️ Fear Politics📺 Media Influence📊 Statistical Literacy
Risk Summary
Risk 86%
Motorcycle crashes kill more than terrorists. Your brain's shortcuts make you fear the wrong one.
by Daniel Gardner 2008
3.96
6k+ ratings
🧠 Cognitive Biases⚠️ Risk Perception🏛️ Fear Politics📺 Media Influence📊 Statistical Literacy
Humble Pi
by Matt Parker • 2019
Math errors have sunk ships and crashed economies. A mathematician-comedian explains why.
4.10
23k+
📐 Popular Mathematics🏗️ Engineering Failures📊 Statistical Errors🧠 Cognitive Biases💻 Software Bugs
Humble Pi Summary
Humble Pi 86%
Math errors have sunk ships and crashed economies. A mathematician-comedian explains why.
by Matt Parker 2019
4.10
23k+ ratings
📐 Popular Mathematics🏗️ Engineering Failures📊 Statistical Errors🧠 Cognitive Biases💻 Software Bugs
Invention and Innovation
by Vaclav Smil • 2023
Moore's Law is an outlier. Everywhere else, innovation crawls, stumbles, or backfires.
3.84
1k+
🛠️ History Of Technology🔍 Innovation Myths⚠️ Unintended Consequences📊 Data-Driven History🧭 Contrarian Analysis
Invention and Innovation Summary
Invention and Innovation 86%
Moore's Law is an outlier. Everywhere else, innovation crawls, stumbles, or backfires.
by Vaclav Smil 2023
3.84
1k+ ratings
🛠️ History Of Technology🔍 Innovation Myths⚠️ Unintended Consequences📊 Data-Driven History🧭 Contrarian Analysis
The Smartest Guys in the Room
by Bethany McLean • 2003
Enron: $70 billion in value, zero in real earnings. The people paid to notice looked away.
4.22
28k+
🏢 Corporate Fraud📊 Accounting Manipulation🏛️ Corporate Governance💼 Corporate Hubris🏦 Wall Street Culture
The Smartest Guys in the Room Summary
The Smartest Guys in the Room 86%
Enron: $70 billion in value, zero in real earnings. The people paid to notice looked away.
by Bethany McLean 2003
4.22
28k+ ratings
🏢 Corporate Fraud📊 Accounting Manipulation🏛️ Corporate Governance💼 Corporate Hubris🏦 Wall Street Culture
Future Babble
by Dan Gardner • 2010
Confidence sells. Accuracy doesn't. Why the loudest experts are the worst forecasters.
3.79
737
🧠 Cognitive Biases📉 Expert Forecasting🌫️ Uncertainty Management💸 Behavioral Economics⚖️ Decision Science
Future Babble Summary
Future Babble 86%
Confidence sells. Accuracy doesn't. Why the loudest experts are the worst forecasters.
by Dan Gardner 2010
3.79
737 ratings
🧠 Cognitive Biases📉 Expert Forecasting🌫️ Uncertainty Management💸 Behavioral Economics⚖️ Decision Science
An Economist Walks into a Brothel
by Allison Schrager • 2019
An economist sizes up risk in brothels, poker rooms, and monster waves, then hands us the rules.
3.56
2k+
🧠 Behavioral Economics⚖️ Risk Management📈 Everyday Economics🔍 Cognitive Biases☁️ Uncertainty And Risk
An Economist Walks into a Brothel Summary
An Economist Walks into a Brothel 86%
An economist sizes up risk in brothels, poker rooms, and monster waves, then hands us the rules.
by Allison Schrager 2019
3.56
2k+ ratings
🧠 Behavioral Economics⚖️ Risk Management📈 Everyday Economics🔍 Cognitive Biases☁️ Uncertainty And Risk
Risk Intelligence
by Dylan Evans • 2012
Your probability estimates are worse than you think. It's trainable, and the payoff is real.
3.71
256
📊 Risk Literacy🧠 Behavioral Economics🧩 Cognitive Biases🎲 Probability Estimation📈 Bayesian Thinking
Risk Intelligence Summary
Risk Intelligence 86%
Your probability estimates are worse than you think. It's trainable, and the payoff is real.
by Dylan Evans 2012
3.71
256 ratings
📊 Risk Literacy🧠 Behavioral Economics🧩 Cognitive Biases🎲 Probability Estimation📈 Bayesian Thinking
Ergodicity
by Luca Dellanna • 2020
Why a bet that works for a hundred people destroys the one who repeats it.
4.05
314
🛡️ Risk Management🧠 Decision Theory🔬 Behavioral Economics🎲 Probability Thinking⏳ Long-Term Thinking
Ergodicity Summary
Ergodicity 86%
Why a bet that works for a hundred people destroys the one who repeats it.
by Luca Dellanna 2020
4.05
314 ratings
🛡️ Risk Management🧠 Decision Theory🔬 Behavioral Economics🎲 Probability Thinking⏳ Long-Term Thinking
Truth, Lies, and O-Rings
by Allan J. McDonald • 2009
One engineer's refusal to stay silent exposed how schedule pressure killed Challenger's crew.
4.02
803
🤝 Engineering Ethics🚀 Space Disasters📢 Whistleblowing🏛️ Corporate Malfeasance⚠️ Institutional Deviance
Truth, Lies, and O-Rings Summary
Truth, Lies, and O-Rings 86%
One engineer's refusal to stay silent exposed how schedule pressure killed Challenger's crew.
by Allan J. McDonald 2009
4.02
803 ratings
🤝 Engineering Ethics🚀 Space Disasters📢 Whistleblowing🏛️ Corporate Malfeasance⚠️ Institutional Deviance
The Strategy Paradox
by Michael E. Raynor • 2007
The strategies that win big also lose big. The escape: a portfolio of options.
3.89
300
🏢 Corporate Strategy⚠️ Risk Management❓ Strategic Uncertainty📊 Real Options Theory🔮 Scenario Planning
The Strategy Paradox Summary
The Strategy Paradox 86%
The strategies that win big also lose big. The escape: a portfolio of options.
by Michael E. Raynor 2007
3.89
300 ratings
🏢 Corporate Strategy⚠️ Risk Management❓ Strategic Uncertainty📊 Real Options Theory🔮 Scenario Planning
Perfectly Confident
by Don A. Moore • 2020
Confidence is a measurement problem: not how sure you feel, but how wrong you might be.
3.67
315
🧠 Cognitive Biases💰 Behavioral Economics📊 Decision Science🎲 Probabilistic Thinking⚠️ Risk Assessment
Perfectly Confident Summary
Perfectly Confident 86%
Confidence is a measurement problem: not how sure you feel, but how wrong you might be.
by Don A. Moore 2020
3.67
315 ratings
🧠 Cognitive Biases💰 Behavioral Economics📊 Decision Science🎲 Probabilistic Thinking⚠️ Risk Assessment
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