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Risk Intelligence
by Dylan Evans • 2012
Your probability estimates are worse than you think. It's trainable, and the payoff is real.
3.71
256
Risk Intelligence Summary
Risk Intelligence 90%
Your probability estimates are worse than you think. It's trainable, and the payoff is real.
by Dylan Evans 2012
3.71
256 ratings
The Failure of Risk Management
by Douglas W. Hubbard • 2009
Standard risk management makes decisions worse than guessing. The fix is simpler than you think.
3.95
413
The Failure of Risk Management Summary
The Failure of Risk Management 90%
Standard risk management makes decisions worse than guessing. The fix is simpler than you think.
by Douglas W. Hubbard 2009
3.95
413 ratings
The Math of Life and Death
by Kit Yates • 2019
Key mathematical ideas govern medicine, law, and media, and your intuition gets each one wrong.
3.90
2k+
The Math of Life and Death Summary
The Math of Life and Death 89%
Key mathematical ideas govern medicine, law, and media, and your intuition gets each one wrong.
by Kit Yates 2019
3.90
2k+ ratings
Calculated Risks
by Gerd Gigerenzer • 2002
How to tell when a percentage misleads you, and the reframing that reveals the truth.
3.96
671
Calculated Risks Summary
Calculated Risks 89%
How to tell when a percentage misleads you, and the reframing that reveals the truth.
by Gerd Gigerenzer 2002
3.96
671 ratings
Chancing It
by Robert Matthews • 2017
How a formula from 17th-century gambling can tell you what any decision is worth.
3.81
227
Chancing It Summary
Chancing It 89%
How a formula from 17th-century gambling can tell you what any decision is worth.
by Robert Matthews 2017
3.81
227 ratings
The Norm Chronicles
by Michael Blastland • 2014
Why we fear plane crashes but not burgers: the stories and numbers behind your worst instincts.
3.59
564
The Norm Chronicles Summary
The Norm Chronicles 89%
Why we fear plane crashes but not burgers: the stories and numbers behind your worst instincts.
by Michael Blastland 2014
3.59
564 ratings
Fooled By Randomness & The Black Swan
by Nassim Nicholas Taleb • 2008
Stability is an illusion, prediction is a scam: the architecture of a life that needs the chaos.
4.17
287
Fooled By Randomness & The Black Swan Summary
Fooled By Randomness & The Black Swan 89%
Stability is an illusion, prediction is a scam: the architecture of a life that needs the chaos.
by Nassim Nicholas Taleb 2008
4.17
287 ratings
The Precipice
by Toby Ord • 2020
The next hundred years will decide if humanity colonizes the galaxy or destroys itself trying.
3.94
5k+
The Precipice Summary
The Precipice 89%
The next hundred years will decide if humanity colonizes the galaxy or destroys itself trying.
by Toby Ord 2020
3.94
5k+ ratings
How to Measure Anything in Cybersecurity Risk
by Douglas W. Hubbard • 2016
Cybersecurity swears its risks defy measurement. A quantitative toolkit that says otherwise.
4.06
381
How to Measure Anything in Cybersecurity Risk Summary
How to Measure Anything in Cybersecurity Risk 89%
Cybersecurity swears its risks defy measurement. A quantitative toolkit that says otherwise.
by Douglas W. Hubbard 2016
4.06
381 ratings
The Numbers Game
by Michael Blastland • 2008
Most numbers in the news mislead you; a few mental habits reveal the real story.
3.65
344
The Numbers Game Summary
The Numbers Game 89%
Most numbers in the news mislead you; a few mental habits reveal the real story.
by Michael Blastland 2008
3.65
344 ratings
An Economist Walks into a Brothel
by Allison Schrager • 2019
An economist sizes up risk in brothels, poker rooms, and monster waves, then hands us the rules.
3.56
2k+
An Economist Walks into a Brothel Summary
An Economist Walks into a Brothel 89%
An economist sizes up risk in brothels, poker rooms, and monster waves, then hands us the rules.
by Allison Schrager 2019
3.56
2k+ ratings
Ergodicity
by Luca Dellanna • 2020
Why a bet that works for a hundred people destroys the one who repeats it.
4.05
314
Ergodicity Summary
Ergodicity 89%
Why a bet that works for a hundred people destroys the one who repeats it.
by Luca Dellanna 2020
4.05
314 ratings
Against the Gods
by Peter L. Bernstein • 1996
The modern world began when humans stopped blaming the gods and started calculating the odds.
3.95
15k+
Against the Gods Summary
Against the Gods 89%
The modern world began when humans stopped blaming the gods and started calculating the odds.
by Peter L. Bernstein 1996
3.95
15k+ ratings
Antifragile
by Nassim Nicholas Taleb • 2012
Predicting catastrophe is impossible. Designing a life that profits from chaos is not.
4.10
58k+
Antifragile Summary
Antifragile 89%
Predicting catastrophe is impossible. Designing a life that profits from chaos is not.
by Nassim Nicholas Taleb 2012
4.10
58k+ ratings
Robin Hood Math
by Noah Giansiracusa • 2025
Algorithms price your insurance, rank your resume, curate your reality. The math that fights back.
3.91
185
Robin Hood Math Summary
Robin Hood Math 89%
Algorithms price your insurance, rank your resume, curate your reality. The math that fights back.
by Noah Giansiracusa 2025
3.91
185 ratings
How to Read Numbers
by Tom Chivers • 2021
Missing denominators, tiny samples, and the WWII plane error that bends every news stat.
4.32
478
How to Read Numbers Summary
How to Read Numbers 89%
Missing denominators, tiny samples, and the WWII plane error that bends every news stat.
by Tom Chivers 2021
4.32
478 ratings
On the Edge
by Nate Silver • 2024
One tribe calculates risk; one avoids it. This divide now shapes American life more than politics.
3.66
6k+
On the Edge Summary
On the Edge 89%
One tribe calculates risk; one avoids it. This divide now shapes American life more than politics.
by Nate Silver 2024
3.66
6k+ ratings
Numbers Rule Your World
by Fung • 2010
Statistics reveals why lines feel shorter, credit scores work, and safe airlines are an illusion.
3.56
1k+
Numbers Rule Your World Summary
Numbers Rule Your World 89%
Statistics reveals why lines feel shorter, credit scores work, and safe airlines are an illusion.
by Fung 2010
3.56
1k+ ratings
Risk Savvy
by Gerd Gigerenzer • 2013
Most real life is uncertainty, not risk. Simple decision rules beat complex models there.
4.01
2k+
Risk Savvy Summary
Risk Savvy 89%
Most real life is uncertainty, not risk. Simple decision rules beat complex models there.
by Gerd Gigerenzer 2013
4.01
2k+ ratings
The Safety Trap
by Spencer Coursen • 2021
Comfort is the greatest trap. A security expert retrains your instincts for a dangerous world.
4.11
196
The Safety Trap Summary
The Safety Trap 89%
Comfort is the greatest trap. A security expert retrains your instincts for a dangerous world.
by Spencer Coursen 2021
4.11
196 ratings
The Tiger That Isn't
by Michael Blastland • 2007
A 40% increase sounds alarming. Should it? The simple questions that make numbers tell the truth.
3.91
670
The Tiger That Isn't Summary
The Tiger That Isn't 89%
A 40% increase sounds alarming. Should it? The simple questions that make numbers tell the truth.
by Michael Blastland 2007
3.91
670 ratings
The Flaw of Averages
by Sam L. Savage • 2009
A single average can sink your plan. The missing skill: thinking in distributions.
3.86
574
The Flaw of Averages Summary
The Flaw of Averages 89%
A single average can sink your plan. The missing skill: thinking in distributions.
by Sam L. Savage 2009
3.86
574 ratings
Skin in the Game
by Nassim Nicholas Taleb • 2018
Your opinion only counts if you have something to lose. Without that, expertise is theater.
3.91
32k+
Skin in the Game Summary
Skin in the Game 89%
Your opinion only counts if you have something to lose. Without that, expertise is theater.
by Nassim Nicholas Taleb 2018
3.91
32k+ ratings
Drift into Failure
by Sidney Dekker • 2011
Hunting the broken part misses real failure: slow, rational erosion inside everyday decisions.
4.01
343
Drift into Failure Summary
Drift into Failure 89%
Hunting the broken part misses real failure: slow, rational erosion inside everyday decisions.
by Sidney Dekker 2011
4.01
343 ratings
The Black Swan
by Nassim Nicholas Taleb • 2007
The bell curve is a map that fails exactly where the terrain gets dangerous.
3.96
123k+
The Black Swan Summary
The Black Swan 89%
The bell curve is a map that fails exactly where the terrain gets dangerous.
by Nassim Nicholas Taleb 2007
3.96
123k+ ratings
The Gray Rhino
by Michele Wucker • 2016
Obvious, predictable threats destroy more than surprises do, and we ignore them anyway.
3.57
391
The Gray Rhino Summary
The Gray Rhino 89%
Obvious, predictable threats destroy more than surprises do, and we ignore them anyway.
by Michele Wucker 2016
3.57
391 ratings
A Survival Guide to the Misinformation Age
by David J. Helfand • 2016
Mental tools from science that let you gut-check any claim yourself, no search engine required.
3.71
220
A Survival Guide to the Misinformation Age Summary
A Survival Guide to the Misinformation Age 88%
Mental tools from science that let you gut-check any claim yourself, no search engine required.
by David J. Helfand 2016
3.71
220 ratings
Incerto 4-Book Bundle
by Nassim Nicholas Taleb • 2011
Some things get stronger from disorder. Most of what we build gets this backward.
4.57
497
Incerto 4-Book Bundle Summary
Incerto 4-Book Bundle 88%
Some things get stronger from disorder. Most of what we build gets this backward.
by Nassim Nicholas Taleb 2011
4.57
497 ratings
Urban Preppers with Kids, Pets &Parents
by James G. Mushen • 2012
The preparedness guide that remembers the toddler, the aging parent, and the family dog.
3.42
109
Urban Preppers with Kids, Pets &Parents Summary
Urban Preppers with Kids, Pets &Parents 88%
The preparedness guide that remembers the toddler, the aging parent, and the family dog.
by James G. Mushen 2012
3.42
109 ratings
If You Can’t Measure It… Maybe You Shouldn’t
by Carsten Busch • 2019
When safety becomes a number, you learn to manage the number, not the risk.
3.95
20
If You Can’t Measure It… Maybe You Shouldn’t Summary
If You Can’t Measure It… Maybe You Shouldn’t 88%
When safety becomes a number, you learn to manage the number, not the risk.
by Carsten Busch 2019
3.95
20 ratings
Factfulness
by Hans Rosling • 2018
A chimp guessing at random outperforms experts on global trends. The data tells a better story.
4.35
203k+
Factfulness Summary
Factfulness 88%
A chimp guessing at random outperforms experts on global trends. The data tells a better story.
by Hans Rosling 2018
4.35
203k+ ratings
Cybersecurity for Beginners
by Raef Meeuwisse • 2015
Firewalls fail when people click. The layered defenses and risk tradeoffs every organization needs.
3.67
147
Cybersecurity for Beginners Summary
Cybersecurity for Beginners 88%
Firewalls fail when people click. The layered defenses and risk tradeoffs every organization needs.
by Raef Meeuwisse 2015
3.67
147 ratings
What's the Worst That Could Happen?
by Andrew Leigh • 2021
A one in six chance of extinction this century. The cause is not technology but politics.
3.81
53
What's the Worst That Could Happen? Summary
What's the Worst That Could Happen? 88%
A one in six chance of extinction this century. The cause is not technology but politics.
by Andrew Leigh 2021
3.81
53 ratings
You CAN Stop Stupid
by Ira Winkler • 2020
Nine in ten significant losses trace to user actions. The fix is systemic, not personal.
3.67
15
You CAN Stop Stupid Summary
You CAN Stop Stupid 88%
Nine in ten significant losses trace to user actions. The fix is systemic, not personal.
by Ira Winkler 2020
3.67
15 ratings
Innumeracy
by John Allen Paulos • 1988
A lottery ticket, a medical test, a sensational statistic: when smart people can't do the math.
3.78
5k+
Innumeracy Summary
Innumeracy 88%
A lottery ticket, a medical test, a sensational statistic: when smart people can't do the math.
by John Allen Paulos 1988
3.78
5k+ ratings
The Devil Never Sleeps
by Juliette Kayyem • 2022
Disasters aren't rare flukes; they're the new normal. The playbook for surviving the next one.
3.84
485
The Devil Never Sleeps Summary
The Devil Never Sleeps 88%
Disasters aren't rare flukes; they're the new normal. The playbook for surviving the next one.
by Juliette Kayyem 2022
3.84
485 ratings
A Mathematician Reads the Newspaper
by John Allen Paulos • 1997
The morning paper rests on hidden math. A mathematician reveals the numbers that change the story.
3.60
1k+
A Mathematician Reads the Newspaper Summary
A Mathematician Reads the Newspaper 88%
The morning paper rests on hidden math. A mathematician reveals the numbers that change the story.
by John Allen Paulos 1997
3.60
1k+ ratings
Streetlights and Shadows
by Gary Klein • 2009
Complex situations demand a different decision playbook. One built on recognition, not comparison.
4.28
321
Streetlights and Shadows Summary
Streetlights and Shadows 88%
Complex situations demand a different decision playbook. One built on recognition, not comparison.
by Gary Klein 2009
4.28
321 ratings
If Anyone Builds It, Everyone Dies
by Eliezer Yudkowsky • 2025
Superhuman AI kills without malice. Its goals turn our atoms into raw material, not our future.
3.92
7k+
If Anyone Builds It, Everyone Dies Summary
If Anyone Builds It, Everyone Dies 88%
Superhuman AI kills without malice. Its goals turn our atoms into raw material, not our future.
by Eliezer Yudkowsky 2025
3.92
7k+ ratings
How Not to Be Wrong
by Jordan Ellenberg • 2014
Your brain defaults to straight lines. Math reveals the curves that keep you from being wrong.
3.95
22k+
How Not to Be Wrong Summary
How Not to Be Wrong 88%
Your brain defaults to straight lines. Math reveals the curves that keep you from being wrong.
by Jordan Ellenberg 2014
3.95
22k+ ratings
Risk
by Stanley McChrystal • 2021
In 1983, one man's doubt stopped a nuclear war. The lesson for your organization's risk systems.
3.64
799
Risk Summary
Risk 88%
In 1983, one man's doubt stopped a nuclear war. The lesson for your organization's risk systems.
by Stanley McChrystal 2021
3.64
799 ratings
Fooled by Randomness
by Nassim Nicholas Taleb • 2001
Ten thousand coin-flippers produce three hundred geniuses. The biographies write themselves.
4.08
72k+
Fooled by Randomness Summary
Fooled by Randomness 88%
Ten thousand coin-flippers produce three hundred geniuses. The biographies write themselves.
by Nassim Nicholas Taleb 2001
4.08
72k+ ratings
The Art of Uncertainty
by David Spiegelhalter • 2024
A statistician reframes luck, chance, and ignorance as manageable relationships, not cosmic curses.
3.78
833
The Art of Uncertainty Summary
The Art of Uncertainty 88%
A statistician reframes luck, chance, and ignorance as manageable relationships, not cosmic curses.
by David Spiegelhalter 2024
3.78
833 ratings
How to Make the World Add Up
by Tim Harford • 2020
Bad statistics weaponize your feelings. Ten rules for seeing what the numbers actually say.
4.12
8k+
How to Make the World Add Up Summary
How to Make the World Add Up 88%
Bad statistics weaponize your feelings. Ten rules for seeing what the numbers actually say.
by Tim Harford 2020
4.12
8k+ ratings
A Demon of Our Own Design
by Richard Bookstaber • 2007
Why safer economies create more volatile markets: a hidden design flaw that turns progress to peril.
3.92
1k+
A Demon of Our Own Design Summary
A Demon of Our Own Design 88%
Why safer economies create more volatile markets: a hidden design flaw that turns progress to peril.
by Richard Bookstaber 2007
3.92
1k+ ratings
Cybersecurity Risk Management
by Cynthia Brumfield • 2021
The NIST framework is a map, not a shield. How to build defenses that work.
3.89
9
Cybersecurity Risk Management Summary
Cybersecurity Risk Management 88%
The NIST framework is a map, not a shield. How to build defenses that work.
by Cynthia Brumfield 2021
3.89
9 ratings
The Science of Fear
by Daniel Gardner • 2008
Life has never been safer, but our ancient brains keep us afraid of the wrong things.
3.96
6k+
The Science of Fear Summary
The Science of Fear 88%
Life has never been safer, but our ancient brains keep us afraid of the wrong things.
by Daniel Gardner 2008
3.96
6k+ ratings
Threat Modeling
by Adam Shostack • 2014
Draw your software. Mark the trust boundaries. Ask six questions to find flaws before attackers do.
4.07
286
Threat Modeling Summary
Threat Modeling 88%
Draw your software. Mark the trust boundaries. Ask six questions to find flaws before attackers do.
by Adam Shostack 2014
4.07
286 ratings
What Should We Be Worried About? Real Scenarios That Keep Scientists Up at Night
by John Brockman • 2014
Cognitive traps. Fragile networks. Captured watchdogs. The real fears of a hundred scientists.
3.45
1k+
What Should We Be Worried About? Real Scenarios That Keep Scientists Up at Night Summary
What Should We Be Worried About? Real Scenarios That Keep Scientists Up at Night 88%
Cognitive traps. Fragile networks. Captured watchdogs. The real fears of a hundred scientists.
by John Brockman 2014
3.45
1k+ ratings
Chaos Kings
by Scott Patterson • 2023
They lose money every day on purpose, because one market crash will repay everything.
3.75
1k+
Chaos Kings Summary
Chaos Kings 88%
They lose money every day on purpose, because one market crash will repay everything.
by Scott Patterson 2023
3.75
1k+ ratings
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