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Drift into Failure
by Sidney Dekker • 2011
Hunting the broken part misses real failure: slow, rational erosion inside everyday decisions.
4.01
343
Drift into Failure Summary
Drift into Failure 89%
Hunting the broken part misses real failure: slow, rational erosion inside everyday decisions.
by Sidney Dekker 2011
4.01
343 ratings
The Failure of Risk Management
by Douglas W. Hubbard • 2009
Standard risk management makes decisions worse than guessing. The fix is simpler than you think.
3.95
413
The Failure of Risk Management Summary
The Failure of Risk Management 88%
Standard risk management makes decisions worse than guessing. The fix is simpler than you think.
by Douglas W. Hubbard 2009
3.95
413 ratings
Fooled By Randomness & The Black Swan
by Nassim Nicholas Taleb • 2008
Stability is an illusion, prediction is a scam: the architecture of a life that needs the chaos.
4.17
287
Fooled By Randomness & The Black Swan Summary
Fooled By Randomness & The Black Swan 88%
Stability is an illusion, prediction is a scam: the architecture of a life that needs the chaos.
by Nassim Nicholas Taleb 2008
4.17
287 ratings
The Precipice
by Toby Ord • 2020
The next hundred years will decide if humanity colonizes the galaxy or destroys itself trying.
3.94
5k+
The Precipice Summary
The Precipice 88%
The next hundred years will decide if humanity colonizes the galaxy or destroys itself trying.
by Toby Ord 2020
3.94
5k+ ratings
Risk Intelligence
by Dylan Evans • 2012
Your probability estimates are worse than you think. It's trainable, and the payoff is real.
3.71
256
Risk Intelligence Summary
Risk Intelligence 87%
Your probability estimates are worse than you think. It's trainable, and the payoff is real.
by Dylan Evans 2012
3.71
256 ratings
How to Measure Anything in Cybersecurity Risk
by Douglas W. Hubbard • 2016
Cybersecurity swears its risks defy measurement. A quantitative toolkit that says otherwise.
4.06
381
How to Measure Anything in Cybersecurity Risk Summary
How to Measure Anything in Cybersecurity Risk 87%
Cybersecurity swears its risks defy measurement. A quantitative toolkit that says otherwise.
by Douglas W. Hubbard 2016
4.06
381 ratings
An Economist Walks into a Brothel
by Allison Schrager • 2019
An economist sizes up risk in brothels, poker rooms, and monster waves, then hands us the rules.
3.56
2k+
An Economist Walks into a Brothel Summary
An Economist Walks into a Brothel 87%
An economist sizes up risk in brothels, poker rooms, and monster waves, then hands us the rules.
by Allison Schrager 2019
3.56
2k+ ratings
The Challenger Launch Decision
by Diane Vaughan • 1997
The chain of small failures that precedes every disaster, and where to break it.
4.08
459
The Challenger Launch Decision Summary
The Challenger Launch Decision 87%
The chain of small failures that precedes every disaster, and where to break it.
by Diane Vaughan 1997
4.08
459 ratings
The Culture of Fear
by Barry Glassner • 1999
Crime is down, fear is up: the institutions that manufacture dread and the damage they cause.
3.70
4k+
The Culture of Fear Summary
The Culture of Fear 87%
Crime is down, fear is up: the institutions that manufacture dread and the damage they cause.
by Barry Glassner 1999
3.70
4k+ ratings
If You Can’t Measure It… Maybe You Shouldn’t
by Carsten Busch • 2019
When safety becomes a number, you learn to manage the number, not the risk.
3.95
20
If You Can’t Measure It… Maybe You Shouldn’t Summary
If You Can’t Measure It… Maybe You Shouldn’t 87%
When safety becomes a number, you learn to manage the number, not the risk.
by Carsten Busch 2019
3.95
20 ratings
On the Edge
by Nate Silver • 2024
One tribe calculates risk; one avoids it. This divide now shapes American life more than politics.
3.66
6k+
On the Edge Summary
On the Edge 87%
One tribe calculates risk; one avoids it. This divide now shapes American life more than politics.
by Nate Silver 2024
3.66
6k+ ratings
Skin in the Game
by Nassim Nicholas Taleb • 2018
Your opinion only counts if you have something to lose. Without that, expertise is theater.
3.91
32k+
Skin in the Game Summary
Skin in the Game 87%
Your opinion only counts if you have something to lose. Without that, expertise is theater.
by Nassim Nicholas Taleb 2018
3.91
32k+ ratings
Antifragile
by Nassim Nicholas Taleb • 2012
Predicting catastrophe is impossible. Designing a life that profits from chaos is not.
4.10
58k+
Antifragile Summary
Antifragile 87%
Predicting catastrophe is impossible. Designing a life that profits from chaos is not.
by Nassim Nicholas Taleb 2012
4.10
58k+ ratings
The Science of Fear
by Daniel Gardner • 2008
Life has never been safer, but our ancient brains keep us afraid of the wrong things.
3.96
6k+
The Science of Fear Summary
The Science of Fear 87%
Life has never been safer, but our ancient brains keep us afraid of the wrong things.
by Daniel Gardner 2008
3.96
6k+ ratings
Risk
by Stanley McChrystal • 2021
In 1983, one man's doubt stopped a nuclear war. The lesson for your organization's risk systems.
3.64
799
Risk Summary
Risk 87%
In 1983, one man's doubt stopped a nuclear war. The lesson for your organization's risk systems.
by Stanley McChrystal 2021
3.64
799 ratings
The Norm Chronicles
by Michael Blastland • 2014
Why we fear plane crashes but not burgers: the stories and numbers behind your worst instincts.
3.59
564
The Norm Chronicles Summary
The Norm Chronicles 87%
Why we fear plane crashes but not burgers: the stories and numbers behind your worst instincts.
by Michael Blastland 2014
3.59
564 ratings
Chancing It
by Robert Matthews • 2017
How a formula from 17th-century gambling can tell you what any decision is worth.
3.81
227
Chancing It Summary
Chancing It 87%
How a formula from 17th-century gambling can tell you what any decision is worth.
by Robert Matthews 2017
3.81
227 ratings
Ergodicity
by Luca Dellanna • 2020
Why a bet that works for a hundred people destroys the one who repeats it.
4.05
314
Ergodicity Summary
Ergodicity 87%
Why a bet that works for a hundred people destroys the one who repeats it.
by Luca Dellanna 2020
4.05
314 ratings
If Anyone Builds It, Everyone Dies
by Eliezer Yudkowsky • 2025
Superhuman AI kills without malice. Its goals turn our atoms into raw material, not our future.
3.92
7k+
If Anyone Builds It, Everyone Dies Summary
If Anyone Builds It, Everyone Dies 87%
Superhuman AI kills without malice. Its goals turn our atoms into raw material, not our future.
by Eliezer Yudkowsky 2025
3.92
7k+ ratings
Calculated Risks
by Gerd Gigerenzer • 2002
How to tell when a percentage misleads you, and the reframing that reveals the truth.
3.96
671
Calculated Risks Summary
Calculated Risks 87%
How to tell when a percentage misleads you, and the reframing that reveals the truth.
by Gerd Gigerenzer 2002
3.96
671 ratings
The Black Swan
by Nassim Nicholas Taleb • 2007
The bell curve is a map that fails exactly where the terrain gets dangerous.
3.96
123k+
The Black Swan Summary
The Black Swan 87%
The bell curve is a map that fails exactly where the terrain gets dangerous.
by Nassim Nicholas Taleb 2007
3.96
123k+ ratings
Against the Gods
by Peter L. Bernstein • 1996
The modern world began when humans stopped blaming the gods and started calculating the odds.
3.95
15k+
Against the Gods Summary
Against the Gods 87%
The modern world began when humans stopped blaming the gods and started calculating the odds.
by Peter L. Bernstein 1996
3.95
15k+ ratings
What's the Worst That Could Happen?
by Andrew Leigh • 2021
A one in six chance of extinction this century. The cause is not technology but politics.
3.81
53
What's the Worst That Could Happen? Summary
What's the Worst That Could Happen? 87%
A one in six chance of extinction this century. The cause is not technology but politics.
by Andrew Leigh 2021
3.81
53 ratings
Normal Accidents
by Charles Perrow • 1984
The safer we try to make a system, the more unknowable its failure modes become.
4.05
704
Normal Accidents Summary
Normal Accidents 87%
The safer we try to make a system, the more unknowable its failure modes become.
by Charles Perrow 1984
4.05
704 ratings
The Gray Rhino
by Michele Wucker • 2016
Obvious, predictable threats destroy more than surprises do, and we ignore them anyway.
3.57
391
The Gray Rhino Summary
The Gray Rhino 87%
Obvious, predictable threats destroy more than surprises do, and we ignore them anyway.
by Michele Wucker 2016
3.57
391 ratings
Our Final Invention
by James Barrat • 2013
An intelligence greater than human will not hate us; it simply won't need us.
3.72
4k+
Our Final Invention Summary
Our Final Invention 87%
An intelligence greater than human will not hate us; it simply won't need us.
by James Barrat 2013
3.72
4k+ ratings
Incerto 4-Book Bundle
by Nassim Nicholas Taleb • 2011
Some things get stronger from disorder. Most of what we build gets this backward.
4.57
497
Incerto 4-Book Bundle Summary
Incerto 4-Book Bundle 87%
Some things get stronger from disorder. Most of what we build gets this backward.
by Nassim Nicholas Taleb 2011
4.57
497 ratings
Chaos Kings
by Scott Patterson • 2023
They lose money every day on purpose, because one market crash will repay everything.
3.75
1k+
Chaos Kings Summary
Chaos Kings 86%
They lose money every day on purpose, because one market crash will repay everything.
by Scott Patterson 2023
3.75
1k+ ratings
The Flaw of Averages
by Sam L. Savage • 2009
A single average can sink your plan. The missing skill: thinking in distributions.
3.86
574
The Flaw of Averages Summary
The Flaw of Averages 86%
A single average can sink your plan. The missing skill: thinking in distributions.
by Sam L. Savage 2009
3.86
574 ratings
You CAN Stop Stupid
by Ira Winkler • 2020
Nine in ten significant losses trace to user actions. The fix is systemic, not personal.
3.67
15
You CAN Stop Stupid Summary
You CAN Stop Stupid 86%
Nine in ten significant losses trace to user actions. The fix is systemic, not personal.
by Ira Winkler 2020
3.67
15 ratings
Fooled by Randomness
by Nassim Nicholas Taleb • 2001
Ten thousand coin-flippers produce three hundred geniuses. The biographies write themselves.
4.08
72k+
Fooled by Randomness Summary
Fooled by Randomness 86%
Ten thousand coin-flippers produce three hundred geniuses. The biographies write themselves.
by Nassim Nicholas Taleb 2001
4.08
72k+ ratings
What Do You Care What Other People Think?
by Richard P. Feynman • 1988
A glass of ice water and an O-ring: how Feynman exposed NASA's fatal blind spot.
4.19
31k+
What Do You Care What Other People Think? Summary
What Do You Care What Other People Think? 86%
A glass of ice water and an O-ring: how Feynman exposed NASA's fatal blind spot.
by Richard P. Feynman 1988
4.19
31k+ ratings
Free-Range Kids
by Lenore Skenazy • 2009
Crime is down, but children's freedom has collapsed. The numbers that let parents finally exhale.
3.88
8k+
Free-Range Kids Summary
Free-Range Kids 86%
Crime is down, but children's freedom has collapsed. The numbers that let parents finally exhale.
by Lenore Skenazy 2009
3.88
8k+ ratings
The Safety Trap
by Spencer Coursen • 2021
Comfort is the greatest trap. A security expert retrains your instincts for a dangerous world.
4.11
196
The Safety Trap Summary
The Safety Trap 86%
Comfort is the greatest trap. A security expert retrains your instincts for a dangerous world.
by Spencer Coursen 2021
4.11
196 ratings
Delay, Deny, Defend
by Jay M. Feinman • 2010
McKinsey taught insurers to see claims not as promises to keep but as costs to cut.
4.03
805
Delay, Deny, Defend Summary
Delay, Deny, Defend 86%
McKinsey taught insurers to see claims not as promises to keep but as costs to cut.
by Jay M. Feinman 2010
4.03
805 ratings
Managing Risk and Information Security
by Malcolm Harkins • 2012
Security's job isn't to block. It's to make the business safe enough to take risks.
3.51
109
Managing Risk and Information Security Summary
Managing Risk and Information Security 86%
Security's job isn't to block. It's to make the business safe enough to take risks.
by Malcolm Harkins 2012
3.51
109 ratings
Risk Savvy
by Gerd Gigerenzer • 2013
Most real life is uncertainty, not risk. Simple decision rules beat complex models there.
4.01
2k+
Risk Savvy Summary
Risk Savvy 86%
Most real life is uncertainty, not risk. Simple decision rules beat complex models there.
by Gerd Gigerenzer 2013
4.01
2k+ ratings
A Demon of Our Own Design
by Richard Bookstaber • 2007
Why safer economies create more volatile markets: a hidden design flaw that turns progress to peril.
3.92
1k+
A Demon of Our Own Design Summary
A Demon of Our Own Design 86%
Why safer economies create more volatile markets: a hidden design flaw that turns progress to peril.
by Richard Bookstaber 2007
3.92
1k+ ratings
What Should We Be Worried About? Real Scenarios That Keep Scientists Up at Night
by John Brockman • 2014
Cognitive traps. Fragile networks. Captured watchdogs. The real fears of a hundred scientists.
3.45
1k+
What Should We Be Worried About? Real Scenarios That Keep Scientists Up at Night Summary
What Should We Be Worried About? Real Scenarios That Keep Scientists Up at Night 86%
Cognitive traps. Fragile networks. Captured watchdogs. The real fears of a hundred scientists.
by John Brockman 2014
3.45
1k+ ratings
Swimming With Sharks
by Joris Luyendijk • 2015
Inside London's financial tribe: how it nearly collapsed the world economy, and why it still could.
3.84
7k+
Swimming With Sharks Summary
Swimming With Sharks 86%
Inside London's financial tribe: how it nearly collapsed the world economy, and why it still could.
by Joris Luyendijk 2015
3.84
7k+ ratings
The Fifth Risk
by Michael Lewis • 2018
Why a $40,000 health clinic in rural America reveals a government most Americans never see.
4.09
48k+
The Fifth Risk Summary
The Fifth Risk 86%
Why a $40,000 health clinic in rural America reveals a government most Americans never see.
by Michael Lewis 2018
4.09
48k+ ratings
Superintelligence
by Nick Bostrom • 2014
A superhuman intelligence won't hate us. It will just want our atoms.
3.85
21k+
Superintelligence Summary
Superintelligence 86%
A superhuman intelligence won't hate us. It will just want our atoms.
by Nick Bostrom 2014
3.85
21k+ ratings
Cybersecurity Risk Management
by Cynthia Brumfield • 2021
The NIST framework is a map, not a shield. How to build defenses that work.
3.89
9
Cybersecurity Risk Management Summary
Cybersecurity Risk Management 86%
The NIST framework is a map, not a shield. How to build defenses that work.
by Cynthia Brumfield 2021
3.89
9 ratings
The Coming Wave
by Mustafa Suleyman • 2023
AI and biotech are coming. They can't be stopped. They can't be contained. Catastrophe or dystopia?
3.80
15k+
The Coming Wave Summary
The Coming Wave 86%
AI and biotech are coming. They can't be stopped. They can't be contained. Catastrophe or dystopia?
by Mustafa Suleyman 2023
3.80
15k+ ratings
How to Measure Anything
by Douglas W. Hubbard • 1985
That thing you call immeasurable? Redefine measurement; the toolkit is simpler than anyone admits.
3.90
4k+
How to Measure Anything Summary
How to Measure Anything 86%
That thing you call immeasurable? Redefine measurement; the toolkit is simpler than anyone admits.
by Douglas W. Hubbard 1985
3.90
4k+ ratings
Other People's Money
by John Kay • 2015
Daily currency trading exceeds global trade a hundredfold. The rest is finance feeding on finance.
3.92
1k+
Other People's Money Summary
Other People's Money 86%
Daily currency trading exceeds global trade a hundredfold. The rest is finance feeding on finance.
by John Kay 2015
3.92
1k+ ratings
Managing the Unexpected
by Karl E. Weick • 2001
The safest organizations stay safe by acting like disaster is always one small oversight away.
3.78
594
Managing the Unexpected Summary
Managing the Unexpected 86%
The safest organizations stay safe by acting like disaster is always one small oversight away.
by Karl E. Weick 2001
3.78
594 ratings
Upstream
by Dan Heath • 2020
Stop putting out fires: a method for solving problems before they land on your desk.
4.14
7k+
Upstream Summary
Upstream 86%
Stop putting out fires: a method for solving problems before they land on your desk.
by Dan Heath 2020
4.14
7k+ ratings
Red Team
by Micah Zenko • 2015
Your blind spots are invisible to you. The fix: a team paid to think like the enemy.
3.74
560
Red Team Summary
Red Team 86%
Your blind spots are invisible to you. The fix: a team paid to think like the enemy.
by Micah Zenko 2015
3.74
560 ratings
The Numbers Game
by Michael Blastland • 2008
Most numbers in the news mislead you; a few mental habits reveal the real story.
3.65
344
The Numbers Game Summary
The Numbers Game 86%
Most numbers in the news mislead you; a few mental habits reveal the real story.
by Michael Blastland 2008
3.65
344 ratings
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