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SoBrief
Searching...
Theories, Predictions, and Diagnoses
by Malcolm Gladwell • 2009
Most failures of expertise come from treating one kind of problem as if it were another.
3.99
1k+
Theories, Predictions, and Diagnoses Summary
Theories, Predictions, and Diagnoses 89%
Most failures of expertise come from treating one kind of problem as if it were another.
by Malcolm Gladwell 2009
3.99
1k+ ratings
Future Babble
by Dan Gardner • 2010
Confidence sells. Accuracy doesn't. Why the loudest experts are the worst forecasters.
3.79
737
Future Babble Summary
Future Babble 89%
Confidence sells. Accuracy doesn't. Why the loudest experts are the worst forecasters.
by Dan Gardner 2010
3.79
737 ratings
How We Know What Isn't So
by Thomas Gilovich • 1991
The mind finds pattern in noise, then argues for it with absolute conviction.
3.95
3k+
How We Know What Isn't So Summary
How We Know What Isn't So 89%
The mind finds pattern in noise, then argues for it with absolute conviction.
by Thomas Gilovich 1991
3.95
3k+ ratings
Expert Political Judgment
by Philip E. Tetlock • 2005
Political pundits barely beat chance. Those who change their minds and doubt themselves do best.
3.98
709
Expert Political Judgment Summary
Expert Political Judgment 89%
Political pundits barely beat chance. Those who change their minds and doubt themselves do best.
by Philip E. Tetlock 2005
3.98
709 ratings
How to Expect the Unexpected
by Kit Yates • 2023
Master the science of prediction: why your gut fails, and when the smartest forecast is none.
3.69
188
How to Expect the Unexpected Summary
How to Expect the Unexpected 88%
Master the science of prediction: why your gut fails, and when the smartest forecast is none.
by Kit Yates 2023
3.69
188 ratings
How Spies Think
by David Omand • 2020
From a former GCHQ chief: how spies structure their thinking to outsmart lies and cognitive traps.
3.62
832
How Spies Think Summary
How Spies Think 88%
From a former GCHQ chief: how spies structure their thinking to outsmart lies and cognitive traps.
by David Omand 2020
3.62
832 ratings
Mistakes Were Made (But Not by Me)
by Carol Tavris • 2007
Why smart people double down on bad decisions, rewrite history, and refuse to admit error.
4.04
29k+
Mistakes Were Made (But Not by Me) Summary
Mistakes Were Made (But Not by Me) 88%
Why smart people double down on bad decisions, rewrite history, and refuse to admit error.
by Carol Tavris 2007
4.04
29k+ ratings
Perfectly Confident
by Don A. Moore • 2020
Confidence is a measurement problem: not how sure you feel, but how wrong you might be.
3.67
315
Perfectly Confident Summary
Perfectly Confident 88%
Confidence is a measurement problem: not how sure you feel, but how wrong you might be.
by Don A. Moore 2020
3.67
315 ratings
The Scout Mindset
by Julia Galef • 2021
Most thinking is self-defense. Clear thinking is a switch you never learned to flip.
4.09
7k+
The Scout Mindset Summary
The Scout Mindset 88%
Most thinking is self-defense. Clear thinking is a switch you never learned to flip.
by Julia Galef 2021
4.09
7k+ ratings
Being Wrong
by Kathryn Schulz • 2010
We can't feel wrong while being wrong, so we confuse certainty with accuracy every time.
3.94
7k+
Being Wrong Summary
Being Wrong 88%
We can't feel wrong while being wrong, so we confuse certainty with accuracy every time.
by Kathryn Schulz 2010
3.94
7k+ ratings
Everything is Obvious
by Duncan J. Watts • 2011
Common sense is a reverse-engineered story: it explains the past perfectly and predicts nothing.
3.81
5k+
Everything is Obvious Summary
Everything is Obvious 88%
Common sense is a reverse-engineered story: it explains the past perfectly and predicts nothing.
by Duncan J. Watts 2011
3.81
5k+ ratings
Superforecasting
by Philip E. Tetlock • 2015
30% more accurate than CIA analysts: the trainable habits that predict the future.
4.08
22k+
Superforecasting Summary
Superforecasting 88%
30% more accurate than CIA analysts: the trainable habits that predict the future.
by Philip E. Tetlock 2015
4.08
22k+ ratings
Rationality
by Steven Pinker • 2021
How a single mental toolkit built science, law, and democracy, and why it keeps short-circuiting.
3.84
7k+
Rationality Summary
Rationality 88%
How a single mental toolkit built science, law, and democracy, and why it keeps short-circuiting.
by Steven Pinker 2021
3.84
7k+ ratings
Thinking 101
by Woo-Kyoung Ahn • 2022
Your brain is wired for survival, not accuracy, and its errors are predictable.
3.82
2k+
Thinking 101 Summary
Thinking 101 88%
Your brain is wired for survival, not accuracy, and its errors are predictable.
by Woo-Kyoung Ahn 2022
3.82
2k+ ratings
Think Twice
by Michael J. Mauboussin • 2009
Smart people fail at decisions because the mind's ancient shortcuts misfire in modern complexity.
3.93
1k+
Think Twice Summary
Think Twice 88%
Smart people fail at decisions because the mind's ancient shortcuts misfire in modern complexity.
by Michael J. Mauboussin 2009
3.93
1k+ ratings
Judgment Under Uncertainty
by Daniel Kahneman • 1982
Mental shortcuts rule under uncertainty; each creates predictable mistakes.
4.17
1k+
Judgment Under Uncertainty Summary
Judgment Under Uncertainty 88%
Mental shortcuts rule under uncertainty; each creates predictable mistakes.
by Daniel Kahneman 1982
4.17
1k+ ratings
The Psychology of Stupidity
by Jean-François Marmion • 2019
The smartest people on why everyone, including you, keeps doing idiotic things.
3.16
3k+
The Psychology of Stupidity Summary
The Psychology of Stupidity 88%
The smartest people on why everyone, including you, keeps doing idiotic things.
by Jean-François Marmion 2019
3.16
3k+ ratings
The Halo Effect
by Philip M. Rosenzweig • 2007
Celebrated business books share a fatal flaw: they mistake the glow of success for its cause.
3.89
6k+
The Halo Effect Summary
The Halo Effect 88%
Celebrated business books share a fatal flaw: they mistake the glow of success for its cause.
by Philip M. Rosenzweig 2007
3.89
6k+ ratings
Don't Believe Everything You Think
by Thomas Kida • 2006
Your brain hunts for stories, ignores stats, and rewrites its memories. Skepticism is the repair.
3.82
853
Don't Believe Everything You Think Summary
Don't Believe Everything You Think 88%
Your brain hunts for stories, ignores stats, and rewrites its memories. Skepticism is the repair.
by Thomas Kida 2006
3.82
853 ratings
Fooled By Randomness & The Black Swan
by Nassim Nicholas Taleb • 2008
Stability is an illusion, prediction is a scam: the architecture of a life that needs the chaos.
4.17
287
Fooled By Randomness & The Black Swan Summary
Fooled By Randomness & The Black Swan 88%
Stability is an illusion, prediction is a scam: the architecture of a life that needs the chaos.
by Nassim Nicholas Taleb 2008
4.17
287 ratings
The Gray Rhino
by Michele Wucker • 2016
Obvious, predictable threats destroy more than surprises do, and we ignore them anyway.
3.57
391
The Gray Rhino Summary
The Gray Rhino 88%
Obvious, predictable threats destroy more than surprises do, and we ignore them anyway.
by Michele Wucker 2016
3.57
391 ratings
How to Decide
by Annie Duke • 2020
Separating luck from skill: the poker champion's toolkit for decisions you won't regret.
3.96
3k+
How to Decide Summary
How to Decide 88%
Separating luck from skill: the poker champion's toolkit for decisions you won't regret.
by Annie Duke 2020
3.96
3k+ ratings
Irrationality
by Stuart Sutherland • 1992
Predictable mental errors everyone makes, from overconfidence to throwing good money after bad.
3.91
2k+
Irrationality Summary
Irrationality 88%
Predictable mental errors everyone makes, from overconfidence to throwing good money after bad.
by Stuart Sutherland 1992
3.91
2k+ ratings
The Intelligence Trap
by David Robson • 2019
Intelligence can make you more biased, not less. The trap is hidden in how smart people reason.
3.99
3k+
The Intelligence Trap Summary
The Intelligence Trap 88%
Intelligence can make you more biased, not less. The trap is hidden in how smart people reason.
by David Robson 2019
3.99
3k+ ratings
Decision Making and Rationality in the Modern World
by Keith E. Stanovich • 2009
Your automatic mind betrays you daily. Here is why, and how to take back control.
4.33
48
Decision Making and Rationality in the Modern World Summary
Decision Making and Rationality in the Modern World 88%
Your automatic mind betrays you daily. Here is why, and how to take back control.
by Keith E. Stanovich 2009
4.33
48 ratings
Thinking in Bets
by Annie Duke • 2018
Most 'bad decisions' were good bets that lost. A poker champion's guide to telling the difference.
3.82
24k+
Thinking in Bets Summary
Thinking in Bets 88%
Most 'bad decisions' were good bets that lost. A poker champion's guide to telling the difference.
by Annie Duke 2018
3.82
24k+ ratings
Streetlights and Shadows
by Gary Klein • 2009
Complex situations demand a different decision playbook. One built on recognition, not comparison.
4.28
321
Streetlights and Shadows Summary
Streetlights and Shadows 88%
Complex situations demand a different decision playbook. One built on recognition, not comparison.
by Gary Klein 2009
4.28
321 ratings
Rationality
by Eliezer Yudkowsky • 2015
Human reason is buggy code. Here is the patch from cognitive science and AI.
4.32
2k+
Rationality Summary
Rationality 88%
Human reason is buggy code. Here is the patch from cognitive science and AI.
by Eliezer Yudkowsky 2015
4.32
2k+ ratings
Fooled by Randomness
by Nassim Nicholas Taleb • 2001
Ten thousand coin-flippers produce three hundred geniuses. The biographies write themselves.
4.08
72k+
Fooled by Randomness Summary
Fooled by Randomness 88%
Ten thousand coin-flippers produce three hundred geniuses. The biographies write themselves.
by Nassim Nicholas Taleb 2001
4.08
72k+ ratings
The Improbability Principle
by David J. Hand • 2014
Why do extremely unlikely events happen daily? A few hidden laws make the extraordinary routine.
3.73
2k+
The Improbability Principle Summary
The Improbability Principle 88%
Why do extremely unlikely events happen daily? A few hidden laws make the extraordinary routine.
by David J. Hand 2014
3.73
2k+ ratings
Thinking, Fast and Slow
by Daniel Kahneman • 2011
You decide first. You explain later. A Nobel laureate reveals the hidden system that chose.
4.17
595k+
Thinking, Fast and Slow Summary
Thinking, Fast and Slow 88%
You decide first. You explain later. A Nobel laureate reveals the hidden system that chose.
by Daniel Kahneman 2011
4.17
595k+ ratings
You Are Not So Smart
by David McRaney • 2011
Your brain is a self-justifying storyteller, and it's hiding the evidence from you.
3.86
36k+
You Are Not So Smart Summary
You Are Not So Smart 88%
Your brain is a self-justifying storyteller, and it's hiding the evidence from you.
by David McRaney 2011
3.86
36k+ ratings
The Invisible Gorilla
by Christopher Chabris • 2010
Your memory rewrites the past, your confidence hides incompetence, and there's a gorilla nobody saw.
3.91
15k+
The Invisible Gorilla Summary
The Invisible Gorilla 87%
Your memory rewrites the past, your confidence hides incompetence, and there's a gorilla nobody saw.
by Christopher Chabris 2010
3.91
15k+ ratings
The Black Swan
by Nassim Nicholas Taleb • 2007
The bell curve is a map that fails exactly where the terrain gets dangerous.
3.96
123k+
The Black Swan Summary
The Black Swan 87%
The bell curve is a map that fails exactly where the terrain gets dangerous.
by Nassim Nicholas Taleb 2007
3.96
123k+ ratings
Risk Intelligence
by Dylan Evans • 2012
Your probability estimates are worse than you think. It's trainable, and the payoff is real.
3.71
256
Risk Intelligence Summary
Risk Intelligence 87%
Your probability estimates are worse than you think. It's trainable, and the payoff is real.
by Dylan Evans 2012
3.71
256 ratings
Thinking
by John Brockman • 2013
A tour of the mind's latest science: warring neurons, useless pundits, and smart shortcuts.
3.69
993
Thinking Summary
Thinking 87%
A tour of the mind's latest science: warring neurons, useless pundits, and smart shortcuts.
by John Brockman 2013
3.69
993 ratings
Rock Breaks Scissors
by William Poundstone • 2014
Why you can outguess anyone: the predictable mistakes we make when we try to be random.
3.50
772
Rock Breaks Scissors Summary
Rock Breaks Scissors 87%
Why you can outguess anyone: the predictable mistakes we make when we try to be random.
by William Poundstone 2014
3.50
772 ratings
Blind Spots
by Max H. Bazerman • 2011
Most unethical behavior is driven by mental gaps, not character flaws. A lens to see what you miss.
3.68
597
Blind Spots Summary
Blind Spots 87%
Most unethical behavior is driven by mental gaps, not character flaws. A lens to see what you miss.
by Max H. Bazerman 2011
3.68
597 ratings
Post-Truth
by Lee McIntyre • 2018
Tobacco companies perfected the blueprint for making people doubt facts. Now it powers politics.
4.01
2k+
Post-Truth Summary
Post-Truth 87%
Tobacco companies perfected the blueprint for making people doubt facts. Now it powers politics.
by Lee McIntyre 2018
4.01
2k+ ratings
Invention and Innovation
by Vaclav Smil • 2023
Moore's Law is an outlier. Everywhere else, innovation crawls, stumbles, or backfires.
3.84
1k+
Invention and Innovation Summary
Invention and Innovation 87%
Moore's Law is an outlier. Everywhere else, innovation crawls, stumbles, or backfires.
by Vaclav Smil 2023
3.84
1k+ ratings
A Joosr Guide to... The Art of Thinking Clearly by Rolf Dobelli
by Joosr • 2015
Bad decisions follow the same few patterns. Learn the traps, and stop falling for them.
3.57
14
A Joosr Guide to... The Art of Thinking Clearly by Rolf Dobelli Summary
A Joosr Guide to... The Art of Thinking Clearly by Rolf Dobelli 87%
Bad decisions follow the same few patterns. Learn the traps, and stop falling for them.
by Joosr 2015
3.57
14 ratings
The Knowledge Illusion
by Steven Sloman • 2017
Ask someone to explain a toilet. They can't. That gap powers civilization.
3.84
3k+
The Knowledge Illusion Summary
The Knowledge Illusion 87%
Ask someone to explain a toilet. They can't. That gap powers civilization.
by Steven Sloman 2017
3.84
3k+ ratings
You Already Know
by Laura Huang • 2025
Intuition is not a magic whisper but a process you can map, train, and deploy.
3.43
97
You Already Know Summary
You Already Know 87%
Intuition is not a magic whisper but a process you can map, train, and deploy.
by Laura Huang 2025
3.43
97 ratings
How to Actually Change Your Mind
by Eliezer Yudkowsky • 2018
Humble confession changes nothing. The specific moves that actually correct your thinking.
4.28
294
How to Actually Change Your Mind Summary
How to Actually Change Your Mind 87%
Humble confession changes nothing. The specific moves that actually correct your thinking.
by Eliezer Yudkowsky 2018
4.28
294 ratings
The Art of Thinking Clearly
by Rolf Dobelli • 2013
99 thinking traps, catalogued. Better judgment comes from removing errors, not adding insight.
3.85
43k+
The Art of Thinking Clearly Summary
The Art of Thinking Clearly 87%
99 thinking traps, catalogued. Better judgment comes from removing errors, not adding insight.
by Rolf Dobelli 2013
3.85
43k+ ratings
Groupthink
by Irving L. Janis • 1982
Why the most cohesive teams produce the worst decisions, and the historical disasters that prove it.
4.13
212
Groupthink Summary
Groupthink 87%
Why the most cohesive teams produce the worst decisions, and the historical disasters that prove it.
by Irving L. Janis 1982
4.13
212 ratings
Factfulness
by Hans Rosling • 2018
A chimp guessing at random outperforms experts on global trends. The data tells a better story.
4.35
203k+
Factfulness Summary
Factfulness 87%
A chimp guessing at random outperforms experts on global trends. The data tells a better story.
by Hans Rosling 2018
4.35
203k+ ratings
Neuroscience and Critical Thinking
by Albert Rutherford • 2019
Your brain edits reality before you see it. How to catch the cuts and decide better.
3.47
121
Neuroscience and Critical Thinking Summary
Neuroscience and Critical Thinking 87%
Your brain edits reality before you see it. How to catch the cuts and decide better.
by Albert Rutherford 2019
3.47
121 ratings
On the Psychology of Military Incompetence
by Norman F. Dixon • 1976
Why do generals from Crimea to Vietnam repeat the same mistakes? Authoritarianism.
3.95
814
On the Psychology of Military Incompetence Summary
On the Psychology of Military Incompetence 87%
Why do generals from Crimea to Vietnam repeat the same mistakes? Authoritarianism.
by Norman F. Dixon 1976
3.95
814 ratings
Risk
by Stanley McChrystal • 2021
In 1983, one man's doubt stopped a nuclear war. The lesson for your organization's risk systems.
3.64
799
Risk Summary
Risk 87%
In 1983, one man's doubt stopped a nuclear war. The lesson for your organization's risk systems.
by Stanley McChrystal 2021
3.64
799 ratings
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