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The Gray Rhino
by Michele Wucker • 2016
Obvious, predictable threats destroy more than surprises do, and we ignore them anyway.
3.57
391
The Gray Rhino Summary
The Gray Rhino 90%
Obvious, predictable threats destroy more than surprises do, and we ignore them anyway.
by Michele Wucker 2016
3.57
391 ratings
The Future of Everything
by David Orrell • 2006
Weather, markets, pandemics: the science of why forecasts fail, and what to build instead.
3.67
117
The Future of Everything Summary
The Future of Everything 90%
Weather, markets, pandemics: the science of why forecasts fail, and what to build instead.
by David Orrell 2006
3.67
117 ratings
The Devil Never Sleeps
by Juliette Kayyem • 2022
Disasters aren't rare flukes; they're the new normal. The playbook for surviving the next one.
3.84
485
The Devil Never Sleeps Summary
The Devil Never Sleeps 90%
Disasters aren't rare flukes; they're the new normal. The playbook for surviving the next one.
by Juliette Kayyem 2022
3.84
485 ratings
The Signals Are Talking
by Amy Webb • 2016
Trends leave footprints at the fringe. A system for reading the future before it becomes obvious.
3.70
641
The Signals Are Talking Summary
The Signals Are Talking 89%
Trends leave footprints at the fringe. A system for reading the future before it becomes obvious.
by Amy Webb 2016
3.70
641 ratings
Chaos Kings
by Scott Patterson • 2023
They lose money every day on purpose, because one market crash will repay everything.
3.75
1k+
Chaos Kings Summary
Chaos Kings 89%
They lose money every day on purpose, because one market crash will repay everything.
by Scott Patterson 2023
3.75
1k+ ratings
The Signal and the Noise
by Nate Silver • 2012
Why weather forecasters improve while economists flounder, and what that reveals about prediction.
3.97
53k+
The Signal and the Noise Summary
The Signal and the Noise 89%
Why weather forecasters improve while economists flounder, and what that reveals about prediction.
by Nate Silver 2012
3.97
53k+ ratings
The Fourth Turning Is Here
by Neil Howe • 2023
An 80-year cycle pushes America toward a 2030 crisis. The last two ended in total war.
3.93
3k+
The Fourth Turning Is Here Summary
The Fourth Turning Is Here 89%
An 80-year cycle pushes America toward a 2030 crisis. The last two ended in total war.
by Neil Howe 2023
3.93
3k+ ratings
MegaThreats
by Nouriel Roubini • 2022
Ten dangers, from unsustainable debt to climate, are now locked together in one accelerating crisis.
3.76
1k+
MegaThreats Summary
MegaThreats 88%
Ten dangers, from unsustainable debt to climate, are now locked together in one accelerating crisis.
by Nouriel Roubini 2022
3.76
1k+ ratings
The Next 100 Years
by George Friedman • 2008
America doesn't need to win wars, just prevent rivals from rising. The next battlefield is orbital.
3.67
11k+
The Next 100 Years Summary
The Next 100 Years 88%
America doesn't need to win wars, just prevent rivals from rising. The next battlefield is orbital.
by George Friedman 2008
3.67
11k+ ratings
The Precipice
by Toby Ord • 2020
The next hundred years will decide if humanity colonizes the galaxy or destroys itself trying.
3.94
5k+
The Precipice Summary
The Precipice 88%
The next hundred years will decide if humanity colonizes the galaxy or destroys itself trying.
by Toby Ord 2020
3.94
5k+ ratings
The World in 2050
by Hamish McRae • 2022
A handful of 1960s birth rates already chose the superpowers of 2050.
3.62
342
The World in 2050 Summary
The World in 2050 88%
A handful of 1960s birth rates already chose the superpowers of 2050.
by Hamish McRae 2022
3.62
342 ratings
Brazil Is the New America
by James Dale Davidson • 2012
The math of debt, energy, and demography says the American era ends and Brazil's begins.
3.17
36
Brazil Is the New America Summary
Brazil Is the New America 88%
The math of debt, energy, and demography says the American era ends and Brazil's begins.
by James Dale Davidson 2012
3.17
36 ratings
The Only Game in Town
by Mohamed El-Erian • 2016
Central banks saved the economy, then overreached. The road ahead now forks toward opposing futures.
3.56
1k+
The Only Game in Town Summary
The Only Game in Town 88%
Central banks saved the economy, then overreached. The road ahead now forks toward opposing futures.
by Mohamed El-Erian 2016
3.56
1k+ ratings
Lights Out
by Ted Koppel • 2015
A grid cyberattack could kill most Americans in a year; no agency has a plan.
3.71
6k+
Lights Out Summary
Lights Out 88%
A grid cyberattack could kill most Americans in a year; no agency has a plan.
by Ted Koppel 2015
3.71
6k+ ratings
Our Final Invention
by James Barrat • 2013
An intelligence greater than human will not hate us; it simply won't need us.
3.72
4k+
Our Final Invention Summary
Our Final Invention 88%
An intelligence greater than human will not hate us; it simply won't need us.
by James Barrat 2013
3.72
4k+ ratings
What's the Worst That Could Happen?
by Andrew Leigh • 2021
A one in six chance of extinction this century. The cause is not technology but politics.
3.81
53
What's the Worst That Could Happen? Summary
What's the Worst That Could Happen? 88%
A one in six chance of extinction this century. The cause is not technology but politics.
by Andrew Leigh 2021
3.81
53 ratings
The Storm Before the Calm
by George Friedman • 2020
Every eighty years America's government breaks; every fifty, its economy. Now both arrive at once.
4.05
3k+
The Storm Before the Calm Summary
The Storm Before the Calm 88%
Every eighty years America's government breaks; every fifty, its economy. Now both arrive at once.
by George Friedman 2020
4.05
3k+ ratings
Could Should Might Don't
by Nick Foster • 2025
Four ways we imagine the future. Three are fantasies. One is a discipline.
3.68
231
Could Should Might Don't Summary
Could Should Might Don't 88%
Four ways we imagine the future. Three are fantasies. One is a discipline.
by Nick Foster 2025
3.68
231 ratings
Forecast
by Mark Buchanan • 2013
What if markets work more like weather than clocks? The physics toolkit economics ignored.
3.93
184
Forecast Summary
Forecast 88%
What if markets work more like weather than clocks? The physics toolkit economics ignored.
by Mark Buchanan 2013
3.93
184 ratings
How to Expect the Unexpected
by Kit Yates • 2023
Master the science of prediction: why your gut fails, and when the smartest forecast is none.
3.69
188
How to Expect the Unexpected Summary
How to Expect the Unexpected 88%
Master the science of prediction: why your gut fails, and when the smartest forecast is none.
by Kit Yates 2023
3.69
188 ratings
If Anyone Builds It, Everyone Dies
by Eliezer Yudkowsky • 2025
Superhuman AI kills without malice. Its goals turn our atoms into raw material, not our future.
3.92
7k+
If Anyone Builds It, Everyone Dies Summary
If Anyone Builds It, Everyone Dies 88%
Superhuman AI kills without malice. Its goals turn our atoms into raw material, not our future.
by Eliezer Yudkowsky 2025
3.92
7k+ ratings
The Fourth Turning
by William Strauss • 1996
America's history runs on an 80-year cycle of four social seasons. The crisis season has begun.
3.87
8k+
The Fourth Turning Summary
The Fourth Turning 88%
America's history runs on an 80-year cycle of four social seasons. The crisis season has begun.
by William Strauss 1996
3.87
8k+ ratings
The Challenger Launch Decision
by Diane Vaughan • 1997
The chain of small failures that precedes every disaster, and where to break it.
4.08
459
The Challenger Launch Decision Summary
The Challenger Launch Decision 88%
The chain of small failures that precedes every disaster, and where to break it.
by Diane Vaughan 1997
4.08
459 ratings
How to Predict Everything
by William Poundstone • 2019
The math that gives humanity 760 more years also explains why aliens never call.
3.19
68
How to Predict Everything Summary
How to Predict Everything 87%
The math that gives humanity 760 more years also explains why aliens never call.
by William Poundstone 2019
3.19
68 ratings
Age of Danger
by Andrew R. Hoehn • 2023
Built for 1947, retooled for terrorism: America's defense system is blind to the threats now coming.
3.81
70
Age of Danger Summary
Age of Danger 87%
Built for 1947, retooled for terrorism: America's defense system is blind to the threats now coming.
by Andrew R. Hoehn 2023
3.81
70 ratings
The Uninhabitable Earth
by David Wallace-Wells • 2019
Climate change is not slow. Heat, hunger, drought, and mass displacement are already here.
3.99
30k+
The Uninhabitable Earth Summary
The Uninhabitable Earth 87%
Climate change is not slow. Heat, hunger, drought, and mass displacement are already here.
by David Wallace-Wells 2019
3.99
30k+ ratings
Art of the Long View, The
by Peter Schwartz • 1991
Predicting the future is a fool's game. The smart money rehearses it instead.
3.80
924
Art of the Long View, The Summary
Art of the Long View, The 87%
Predicting the future is a fool's game. The smart money rehearses it instead.
by Peter Schwartz 1991
3.80
924 ratings
Everyday Chaos
by David Weinberger • 2019
A medical AI diagnoses illness but can't explain how. The age of demanding explanations is over.
3.78
202
Everyday Chaos Summary
Everyday Chaos 87%
A medical AI diagnoses illness but can't explain how. The age of demanding explanations is over.
by David Weinberger 2019
3.78
202 ratings
The Fifth Risk
by Michael Lewis • 2018
Why a $40,000 health clinic in rural America reveals a government most Americans never see.
4.09
48k+
The Fifth Risk Summary
The Fifth Risk 87%
Why a $40,000 health clinic in rural America reveals a government most Americans never see.
by Michael Lewis 2018
4.09
48k+ ratings
The End of the World Is Just the Beginning
by Peter Zeihan • 2022
The U.S. Navy built globalization. Its retreat will break it; only America is ready.
4.16
14k+
The End of the World Is Just the Beginning Summary
The End of the World Is Just the Beginning 87%
The U.S. Navy built globalization. Its retreat will break it; only America is ready.
by Peter Zeihan 2022
4.16
14k+ ratings
The New Great Depression
by James Rickards • 2021
A virus didn't cause this depression. The lockdown did, and a recovery isn't coming.
3.52
1k+
The New Great Depression Summary
The New Great Depression 87%
A virus didn't cause this depression. The lockdown did, and a recovery isn't coming.
by James Rickards 2021
3.52
1k+ ratings
Urban Preppers with Kids, Pets &Parents
by James G. Mushen • 2012
The preparedness guide that remembers the toddler, the aging parent, and the family dog.
3.42
109
Urban Preppers with Kids, Pets &Parents Summary
Urban Preppers with Kids, Pets &Parents 87%
The preparedness guide that remembers the toddler, the aging parent, and the family dog.
by James G. Mushen 2012
3.42
109 ratings
2052
by Jørgen Randers • 2012
A Limits to Growth update: population shrinks, growth slows, yet 2°C warming still hits by 2052.
3.95
355
2052 Summary
2052 87%
A Limits to Growth update: population shrinks, growth slows, yet 2°C warming still hits by 2052.
by Jørgen Randers 2012
3.95
355 ratings
Risk
by Stanley McChrystal • 2021
In 1983, one man's doubt stopped a nuclear war. The lesson for your organization's risk systems.
3.64
799
Risk Summary
Risk 87%
In 1983, one man's doubt stopped a nuclear war. The lesson for your organization's risk systems.
by Stanley McChrystal 2021
3.64
799 ratings
Future Babble
by Dan Gardner • 2010
Confidence sells. Accuracy doesn't. Why the loudest experts are the worst forecasters.
3.79
737
Future Babble Summary
Future Babble 87%
Confidence sells. Accuracy doesn't. Why the loudest experts are the worst forecasters.
by Dan Gardner 2010
3.79
737 ratings
How to Drag a Body and Other Safety Tips You Hope to Never Need
by Judith Matloff • 2020
A war reporter's field manual for emergencies most people never train for, until it's too late.
3.51
390
How to Drag a Body and Other Safety Tips You Hope to Never Need Summary
How to Drag a Body and Other Safety Tips You Hope to Never Need 87%
A war reporter's field manual for emergencies most people never train for, until it's too late.
by Judith Matloff 2020
3.51
390 ratings
A Demon of Our Own Design
by Richard Bookstaber • 2007
Why safer economies create more volatile markets: a hidden design flaw that turns progress to peril.
3.92
1k+
A Demon of Our Own Design Summary
A Demon of Our Own Design 87%
Why safer economies create more volatile markets: a hidden design flaw that turns progress to peril.
by Richard Bookstaber 2007
3.92
1k+ ratings
The Coming Wave
by Mustafa Suleyman • 2023
AI and biotech are coming. They can't be stopped. They can't be contained. Catastrophe or dystopia?
3.80
15k+
The Coming Wave Summary
The Coming Wave 87%
AI and biotech are coming. They can't be stopped. They can't be contained. Catastrophe or dystopia?
by Mustafa Suleyman 2023
3.80
15k+ ratings
Surviving AI
by Calum Chace • 2015
Superintelligence is coming. It could be the greatest thing or the last thing we ever build.
3.88
608
Surviving AI Summary
Surviving AI 87%
Superintelligence is coming. It could be the greatest thing or the last thing we ever build.
by Calum Chace 2015
3.88
608 ratings
Falter
by Bill McKibben • 2019
Engineers want to redesign humans as the climate exit. The two crises share a cause.
4.00
2k+
Falter Summary
Falter 87%
Engineers want to redesign humans as the climate exit. The two crises share a cause.
by Bill McKibben 2019
4.00
2k+ ratings
Flash Foresight
by Daniel Burrus • 2010
The future hides certainties in plain sight. A method for spotting them and moving first.
4.02
387
Flash Foresight Summary
Flash Foresight 87%
The future hides certainties in plain sight. A method for spotting them and moving first.
by Daniel Burrus 2010
4.02
387 ratings
Stress Test
by Timothy F. Geithner • 2014
An insider on why rescuing the economy costs the country politically, and why it's still necessary.
4.08
5k+
Stress Test Summary
Stress Test 87%
An insider on why rescuing the economy costs the country politically, and why it's still necessary.
by Timothy F. Geithner 2014
4.08
5k+ ratings
The Road to Ruin
by James Rickards • 2016
The next financial crisis is scripted: a global currency switch, and gold is the escape hatch.
4.05
1k+
The Road to Ruin Summary
The Road to Ruin 87%
The next financial crisis is scripted: a global currency switch, and gold is the escape hatch.
by James Rickards 2016
4.05
1k+ ratings
Seeing Around Corners
by Rita McGrath • 2019
Disruption announces itself at the edges first. A system for reading the signals before they arrive.
3.80
581
Seeing Around Corners Summary
Seeing Around Corners 87%
Disruption announces itself at the edges first. A system for reading the signals before they arrive.
by Rita McGrath 2019
3.80
581 ratings
Don't Wait for the Next War
by Wesley K. Clark • 2014
A retired general's strategy: America, united by energy, not enemies.
3.67
93
Don't Wait for the Next War Summary
Don't Wait for the Next War 87%
A retired general's strategy: America, united by energy, not enemies.
by Wesley K. Clark 2014
3.67
93 ratings
Aftermath
by Rickards James • 2019
Central banks buried 2008 in printed money. The real crash comes when the printing stops.
4.09
676
Aftermath Summary
Aftermath 87%
Central banks buried 2008 in printed money. The real crash comes when the printing stops.
by Rickards James 2019
4.09
676 ratings
Incerto 4-Book Bundle
by Nassim Nicholas Taleb • 2011
Some things get stronger from disorder. Most of what we build gets this backward.
4.57
497
Incerto 4-Book Bundle Summary
Incerto 4-Book Bundle 87%
Some things get stronger from disorder. Most of what we build gets this backward.
by Nassim Nicholas Taleb 2011
4.57
497 ratings
Ten Lessons for a Post-Pandemic World
by Fareed Zakaria • 2020
COVID-19 hit fast-forward. Ten lessons for a digital, unequal, and bipolar world.
3.96
6k+
Ten Lessons for a Post-Pandemic World Summary
Ten Lessons for a Post-Pandemic World 87%
COVID-19 hit fast-forward. Ten lessons for a digital, unequal, and bipolar world.
by Fareed Zakaria 2020
3.96
6k+ ratings
Forecasting
by Rob J. Hyndman • 2013
Build forecasts that work: test on unseen data, beat simple benchmarks, reconcile every level.
4.39
318
Forecasting Summary
Forecasting 87%
Build forecasts that work: test on unseen data, beat simple benchmarks, reconcile every level.
by Rob J. Hyndman 2013
4.39
318 ratings
How Spies Think
by David Omand • 2020
From a former GCHQ chief: how spies structure their thinking to outsmart lies and cognitive traps.
3.62
832
How Spies Think Summary
How Spies Think 87%
From a former GCHQ chief: how spies structure their thinking to outsmart lies and cognitive traps.
by David Omand 2020
3.62
832 ratings
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