31 Books like Noise

You're About to Make a Terrible Mistake

by Olivier Sibony • 2019

You can't think your way out of bias. Better decisions need better process, not better people.

4.05

720

🧠 Cognitive Biases 📊 Behavioral Economics 🏗️ Decision Architecture

You're About to Make a Terrible Mistake Summary

You're About to Make a Terrible Mistake 96%

You can't think your way out of bias. Better decisions need better process, not better people.

by Olivier Sibony 2019

4.05

720 ratings

🧠 Cognitive Biases 📊 Behavioral Economics 🏗️ Decision Architecture

Think Twice

by Michael J. Mauboussin • 2009

Smart people fail at decisions because the mind's ancient shortcuts misfire in modern complexity.

3.93

1k+

🧠 Behavioral Economics 🔍 Cognitive Biases 📊 Decision Science

Think Twice 95%

Smart people fail at decisions because the mind's ancient shortcuts misfire in modern complexity.

by Michael J. Mauboussin 2009

3.93

1k+ ratings

🧠 Behavioral Economics 🔍 Cognitive Biases 📊 Decision Science

Never Go With Your Gut

by Gleb Tsipursky • 2019

Your gut is for survival, not strategy. Override the biases that cost 10 percent of revenue.

4.12

259

🧠 Cognitive Biases 📊 Behavioral Economics 💼 Business Decisions

Never Go With Your Gut 95%

Your gut is for survival, not strategy. Override the biases that cost 10 percent of revenue.

by Gleb Tsipursky 2019

4.12

259 ratings

🧠 Cognitive Biases 📊 Behavioral Economics 💼 Business Decisions

Smart Choices

by John S. Hammond • 1998

The most expensive mistakes happen before you even name the problem. A method for catching them.

4.02

7k+

🧱 Decision Frameworks 📊 Decision Analysis 🧠 Cognitive Biases

Smart Choices 95%

The most expensive mistakes happen before you even name the problem. A method for catching them.

by John S. Hammond 1998

4.02

7k+ ratings

🧱 Decision Frameworks 📊 Decision Analysis 🧠 Cognitive Biases

Decisive

by Chip Heath • 2013

Decisions fail in four predictable ways. A process fixes them, starting with one question.

3.96

18k+

🧭 Decision Making 🧪 Behavioral Economics 🧠 Cognitive Biases

Decisive 95%

Decisions fail in four predictable ways. A process fixes them, starting with one question.

by Chip Heath 2013

3.96

18k+ ratings

🧭 Decision Making 🧪 Behavioral Economics 🧠 Cognitive Biases

Sway

by Ori Brafman • 2008

Seven invisible biases that make rational people overpay, overstay, and reject free money.

3.78

20k+

💰 Behavioral Economics 🧠 Cognitive Biases 👀 Value Perception

Sway 95%

Seven invisible biases that make rational people overpay, overstay, and reject free money.

by Ori Brafman 2008

3.78

20k+ ratings

💰 Behavioral Economics 🧠 Cognitive Biases 👀 Value Perception

Risk Savvy

by Gerd Gigerenzer • 2013

Most real life is uncertainty, not risk. Simple decision rules beat complex models there.

4.01

2k+

🧠 Decision Science 🔍 Cognitive Biases 📊 Risk Literacy

Risk Savvy 95%

Most real life is uncertainty, not risk. Simple decision rules beat complex models there.

by Gerd Gigerenzer 2013

4.01

2k+ ratings

🧠 Decision Science 🔍 Cognitive Biases 📊 Risk Literacy

Perfectly Confident

by Don A. Moore • 2020

Confidence is a measurement problem: not how sure you feel, but how wrong you might be.

3.67

315

🧠 Cognitive Biases 💰 Behavioral Economics 📊 Decision Science

Perfectly Confident 95%

Confidence is a measurement problem: not how sure you feel, but how wrong you might be.

by Don A. Moore 2020

3.67

315 ratings

🧠 Cognitive Biases 💰 Behavioral Economics 📊 Decision Science

The Elements of Choice

by Eric J. Johnson • 2021

Your choices feel free. But someone arranged the options, and that arrangement is doing the work.

3.91

523

🧠 Behavioral Economics 🔬 Decision Science 🪤 Cognitive Biases

The Elements of Choice 95%

Your choices feel free. But someone arranged the options, and that arrangement is doing the work.

by Eric J. Johnson 2021

3.91

523 ratings

🧠 Behavioral Economics 🔬 Decision Science 🪤 Cognitive Biases

Future Babble

by Dan Gardner • 2010

Confidence sells. Accuracy doesn't. Why the loudest experts are the worst forecasters.

3.79

737

🧠 Cognitive Biases 📉 Expert Forecasting 🌫️ Uncertainty Management

Future Babble 95%

Confidence sells. Accuracy doesn't. Why the loudest experts are the worst forecasters.

by Dan Gardner 2010

3.79

737 ratings

🧠 Cognitive Biases 📉 Expert Forecasting 🌫️ Uncertainty Management

Tune In

by Nuala Walsh • 2024

Hear what your mind erases: a playbook to stop sabotaging the decisions that matter most.

4.30

122

🧠 Cognitive Biases 📈 Behavioral Economics 🎯 Attention Management

Tune In 94%

Hear what your mind erases: a playbook to stop sabotaging the decisions that matter most.

by Nuala Walsh 2024

4.30

122 ratings

🧠 Cognitive Biases 📈 Behavioral Economics 🎯 Attention Management

Maxims for Thinking Analytically

by Dan Levy • 2021

Extreme cases and simple division: Harvard legend's toolkit for sharper thinking amid uncertainty.

3.92

583

🧠 Decision Science 📋 Policy Analysis 🎲 Probabilistic Thinking

Maxims for Thinking Analytically Summary

Maxims for Thinking Analytically 94%

Extreme cases and simple division: Harvard legend's toolkit for sharper thinking amid uncertainty.

by Dan Levy 2021

3.92

583 ratings

🧠 Decision Science 📋 Policy Analysis 🎲 Probabilistic Thinking

The Power of Noticing

by Max H. Bazerman • 2014

The worst failures were visible beforehand; the missing ingredient was never data but attention.

3.40

437

🧠 Cognitive Biases 💰 Behavioral Economics 🏢 Organizational Culture

The Power of Noticing 94%

The worst failures were visible beforehand; the missing ingredient was never data but attention.

by Max H. Bazerman 2014

3.40

437 ratings

🧠 Cognitive Biases 💰 Behavioral Economics 🏢 Organizational Culture

Sources of Power, 20th Anniversary Edition

by Gary Klein • 1998

Your best decisions skip the options list. How firefighters, nurses, and commanders really decide.

3.97

3k+

🧠 Decision Science 🚨 Crisis Management 🌀 Intuitive Expertise

Sources of Power, 20th Anniversary Edition Summary

Sources of Power, 20th Anniversary Edition 94%

Your best decisions skip the options list. How firefighters, nurses, and commanders really decide.

by Gary Klein 1998

3.97

3k+ ratings

🧠 Decision Science 🚨 Crisis Management 🌀 Intuitive Expertise

Irrationality

by Stuart Sutherland • 1992

Predictable mental errors everyone makes, from overconfidence to throwing good money after bad.

3.91

2k+

🧠 Cognitive Biases 🔍 Decision Science 📊 Statistical Thinking

Irrationality 94%

Predictable mental errors everyone makes, from overconfidence to throwing good money after bad.

by Stuart Sutherland 1992

3.91

2k+ ratings

🧠 Cognitive Biases 🔍 Decision Science 📊 Statistical Thinking

Wiser

by Cass R. Sunstein • 2014

Teams amplify individual mistakes. The evidence why, and the fixes that reverse the damage.

3.62

437

🧠 Behavioral Economics 🔍 Cognitive Biases 👥 Group Decision Making

Wiser 94%

Teams amplify individual mistakes. The evidence why, and the fixes that reverse the damage.

by Cass R. Sunstein 2014

3.62

437 ratings

🧠 Behavioral Economics 🔍 Cognitive Biases 👥 Group Decision Making

Behavioural Economics

by David Orrell • 2021

The economic agent is a myth: psychology, not calculation, drives decisions.

3.55

175

🧠 Behavioral Economics 🔍 Cognitive Biases 💸 Economic Psychology

Behavioural Economics 94%

The economic agent is a myth: psychology, not calculation, drives decisions.

by David Orrell 2021

3.55

175 ratings

🧠 Behavioral Economics 🔍 Cognitive Biases 💸 Economic Psychology

HBR Guide to Critical Thinking

by Harvard Business Review • 2023

Why assumptions trap you, and how to escape before you decide: HBR guide to clearer thinking.

3.92

198

🧠 Critical Thinking 🤔 Decision Making 🧐 Cognitive Biases

HBR Guide to Critical Thinking 94%

Why assumptions trap you, and how to escape before you decide: HBR guide to clearer thinking.

by Harvard Business Review 2023

3.92

198 ratings

🧠 Critical Thinking 🤔 Decision Making 🧐 Cognitive Biases

Framers

by Kenneth Cukier • 2021

AI can't ask 'what if.' That single gap explains why humans remain irreplaceable.

3.53

568

🧠 Mental Models 🔬 Decision Science 🤖 Human Vs Machine

Framers 94%

AI can't ask 'what if.' That single gap explains why humans remain irreplaceable.

by Kenneth Cukier 2021

3.53

568 ratings

🧠 Mental Models 🔬 Decision Science 🤖 Human Vs Machine

Psychology of Intelligence Analysis

by Richards J. Heuer Jr. • 2005

CIA's textbook for outthinking your own limits: structured methods that catch what intuition misses.

4.27

1k+

🕵️ Intelligence Analysis 🧠 Cognitive Biases 📊 Structured Analysis

Psychology of Intelligence Analysis Summary

Psychology of Intelligence Analysis 94%

CIA's textbook for outthinking your own limits: structured methods that catch what intuition misses.

by Richards J. Heuer Jr. 2005

4.27

1k+ ratings

🕵️ Intelligence Analysis 🧠 Cognitive Biases 📊 Structured Analysis

An Economist Walks into a Brothel

by Allison Schrager • 2019

An economist sizes up risk in brothels, poker rooms, and monster waves, then hands us the rules.

3.56

2k+

🧠 Behavioral Economics ⚖️ Risk Management 📈 Everyday Economics

An Economist Walks into a Brothel Summary

An Economist Walks into a Brothel 94%

An economist sizes up risk in brothels, poker rooms, and monster waves, then hands us the rules.

by Allison Schrager 2019

3.56

2k+ ratings

🧠 Behavioral Economics ⚖️ Risk Management 📈 Everyday Economics

The Science of Successful Organizational Change

by Paul Gibbons • 2015

Half of all change efforts fail. The fix is the behavioral science most leaders overlook.

4.07

🔄 Change Management 🏃 Agile Organizations 🧠 Behavioral Economics

The Science of Successful Organizational Change Summary

The Science of Successful Organizational Change 94%

Half of all change efforts fail. The fix is the behavioral science most leaders overlook.

by Paul Gibbons 2015

4.07

45 ratings

🔄 Change Management 🏃 Agile Organizations 🧠 Behavioral Economics

Why We Make Mistakes

by Joseph T. Hallinan • 2009

Your brain edits reality, rewrites your memories, and is certain you're above average.

3.91

9k+

🧠 Cognitive Biases 📊 Behavioral Economics ✅ Error Reduction

Why We Make Mistakes 94%

Your brain edits reality, rewrites your memories, and is certain you're above average.

by Joseph T. Hallinan 2009

3.91

9k+ ratings

🧠 Cognitive Biases 📊 Behavioral Economics ✅ Error Reduction

Sidetracked

by Francesca Gino • 2013

Hidden forces quietly derail every decision you make; spotting them is a trainable skill.

3.45

286

🧠 Behavioral Economics 🔍 Cognitive Biases 🧭 Decision Making

Sidetracked 94%

Hidden forces quietly derail every decision you make; spotting them is a trainable skill.

by Francesca Gino 2013

3.45

286 ratings

🧠 Behavioral Economics 🔍 Cognitive Biases 🧭 Decision Making

The Power of Intuition

by Gary Klein • 2004

Gut feelings are learned, not gifted: the playbook for training your intuition into a decision tool.

3.86

510

🧠 Expert Intuition 🎯 Deliberate Practice 🧩 Cognitive Bias

The Power of Intuition 94%

Gut feelings are learned, not gifted: the playbook for training your intuition into a decision tool.

by Gary Klein 2004

3.86

510 ratings

🧠 Expert Intuition 🎯 Deliberate Practice 🧩 Cognitive Bias

Farsighted

by Steven Johnson • 2018

Why our biggest choices flunk the pro/con list, and what works: mapping, rehearsal, fiction.

3.55

2k+

🧠 Decision Science 🗺️ Strategic Planning ⏳ Long-Term Thinking

Farsighted 94%

Why our biggest choices flunk the pro/con list, and what works: mapping, rehearsal, fiction.

by Steven Johnson 2018

3.55

2k+ ratings

🧠 Decision Science 🗺️ Strategic Planning ⏳ Long-Term Thinking

Superforecasting

by Philip E. Tetlock • 2015

30% more accurate than CIA analysts: the trainable habits that predict the future.

4.08

22k+

🔮 Forecasting 🎲 Probabilistic Thinking 🧠 Cognitive Biases

Superforecasting 94%

30% more accurate than CIA analysts: the trainable habits that predict the future.

by Philip E. Tetlock 2015

4.08

22k+ ratings

🔮 Forecasting 🎲 Probabilistic Thinking 🧠 Cognitive Biases

The Art of Critical Decision Making

by Michael A. Roberto • 2009

Data doesn't make decisions. Debate does. The process for designing the right argument in any room.

4.09

573

🧠 Cognitive Biases 📉 Behavioral Economics ⚔️ Constructive Conflict

The Art of Critical Decision Making Summary

The Art of Critical Decision Making 94%

Data doesn't make decisions. Debate does. The process for designing the right argument in any room.

by Michael A. Roberto 2009

4.09

573 ratings

🧠 Cognitive Biases 📉 Behavioral Economics ⚔️ Constructive Conflict

Risk Intelligence

by Dylan Evans • 2012

Your probability estimates are worse than you think. It's trainable, and the payoff is real.

3.71

256

📊 Risk Literacy 🧠 Behavioral Economics 🧩 Cognitive Biases

Risk Intelligence 94%

Your probability estimates are worse than you think. It's trainable, and the payoff is real.

by Dylan Evans 2012

3.71

256 ratings

📊 Risk Literacy 🧠 Behavioral Economics 🧩 Cognitive Biases

Streetlights and Shadows

by Gary Klein • 2009

Complex situations demand a different decision playbook. One built on recognition, not comparison.

4.28

321

🧠 Intuition And Analysis 🔍 Sensemaking 📊 Behavioral Economics

Streetlights and Shadows 94%

Complex situations demand a different decision playbook. One built on recognition, not comparison.

by Gary Klein 2009

4.28

321 ratings

🧠 Intuition And Analysis 🔍 Sensemaking 📊 Behavioral Economics

The Science of Organizational Change

by Paul Gibbons • 2019

Half of corporate change fails, and the guru-industrial complex is covering up the real reasons.

4.02

🏢 Organizational Change 💰 Behavioral Economics 🤔 Cognitive Biases

The Science of Organizational Change Summary

The Science of Organizational Change 93%

Half of corporate change fails, and the guru-industrial complex is covering up the real reasons.

by Paul Gibbons 2019

4.02

87 ratings

🏢 Organizational Change 💰 Behavioral Economics 🤔 Cognitive Biases

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