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Books like Future Babble

Think Twice
by Michael J. Mauboussin • 2009
Smart people fail at decisions because the mind's ancient shortcuts misfire in modern complexity.
3.93
1k+
🧠 Behavioral Economics🔍 Cognitive Biases📊 Decision Science🔗 Systems Thinking🎲 Luck Vs Skill
Think Twice Summary
Think Twice 97%
Smart people fail at decisions because the mind's ancient shortcuts misfire in modern complexity.
by Michael J. Mauboussin 2009
3.93
1k+ ratings
🧠 Behavioral Economics🔍 Cognitive Biases📊 Decision Science🔗 Systems Thinking🎲 Luck Vs Skill
Superforecasting
by Philip E. Tetlock • 2015
30% more accurate than CIA analysts: the trainable habits that predict the future.
4.08
22k+
🔮 Forecasting🎲 Probabilistic Thinking🧠 Cognitive Biases🤲 Intellectual Humility🌱 Growth Mindset
Superforecasting Summary
Superforecasting 97%
30% more accurate than CIA analysts: the trainable habits that predict the future.
by Philip E. Tetlock 2015
4.08
22k+ ratings
🔮 Forecasting🎲 Probabilistic Thinking🧠 Cognitive Biases🤲 Intellectual Humility🌱 Growth Mindset
Irrationality
by Stuart Sutherland • 1992
Predictable mental errors everyone makes, from overconfidence to throwing good money after bad.
3.91
2k+
🧠 Cognitive Biases🔍 Decision Science📊 Statistical Thinking👥 Social Conformity🎭 Emotional Biases
Irrationality Summary
Irrationality 96%
Predictable mental errors everyone makes, from overconfidence to throwing good money after bad.
by Stuart Sutherland 1992
3.91
2k+ ratings
🧠 Cognitive Biases🔍 Decision Science📊 Statistical Thinking👥 Social Conformity🎭 Emotional Biases
Fooled by Randomness
by Nassim Nicholas Taleb • 2001
Ten thousand coin-flippers produce three hundred geniuses. The biographies write themselves.
4.08
72k+
📈 Financial Markets🔬 Behavioral Economics🧠 Cognitive Biases🎲 Risk Management🔍 Decision Quality
Fooled by Randomness Summary
Fooled by Randomness 96%
Ten thousand coin-flippers produce three hundred geniuses. The biographies write themselves.
by Nassim Nicholas Taleb 2001
4.08
72k+ ratings
📈 Financial Markets🔬 Behavioral Economics🧠 Cognitive Biases🎲 Risk Management🔍 Decision Quality
Perfectly Confident
by Don A. Moore • 2020
Confidence is a measurement problem: not how sure you feel, but how wrong you might be.
3.67
315
🧠 Cognitive Biases💰 Behavioral Economics📊 Decision Science🎲 Probabilistic Thinking⚠️ Risk Assessment
Perfectly Confident Summary
Perfectly Confident 96%
Confidence is a measurement problem: not how sure you feel, but how wrong you might be.
by Don A. Moore 2020
3.67
315 ratings
🧠 Cognitive Biases💰 Behavioral Economics📊 Decision Science🎲 Probabilistic Thinking⚠️ Risk Assessment
How to Expect the Unexpected
by Kit Yates • 2023
Master the science of prediction: why your gut fails, and when the smartest forecast is none.
3.69
188
🔮 Forecasting🧠 Cognitive Biases🎲 Probability🔄 Systems Thinking🦋 Chaos Theory
How to Expect the Unexpected Summary
How to Expect the Unexpected 96%
Master the science of prediction: why your gut fails, and when the smartest forecast is none.
by Kit Yates 2023
3.69
188 ratings
🔮 Forecasting🧠 Cognitive Biases🎲 Probability🔄 Systems Thinking🦋 Chaos Theory
Third Millennium Thinking
by Saul Perlmutter • 2024
Probability over certainty, groups over lone genius: a Nobel physicist's toolkit for clear thinking.
3.66
339
🔬 Scientific Thinking🧠 Cognitive Biases🎲 Probabilistic Thinking👥 Collective Intelligence📰 Information Literacy
Third Millennium Thinking Summary
Third Millennium Thinking 96%
Probability over certainty, groups over lone genius: a Nobel physicist's toolkit for clear thinking.
by Saul Perlmutter 2024
3.66
339 ratings
🔬 Scientific Thinking🧠 Cognitive Biases🎲 Probabilistic Thinking👥 Collective Intelligence📰 Information Literacy
Risk Intelligence
by Dylan Evans • 2012
Your probability estimates are worse than you think. It's trainable, and the payoff is real.
3.71
256
📊 Risk Literacy🧠 Behavioral Economics🧩 Cognitive Biases🎲 Probability Estimation📈 Bayesian Thinking
Risk Intelligence Summary
Risk Intelligence 96%
Your probability estimates are worse than you think. It's trainable, and the payoff is real.
by Dylan Evans 2012
3.71
256 ratings
📊 Risk Literacy🧠 Behavioral Economics🧩 Cognitive Biases🎲 Probability Estimation📈 Bayesian Thinking
Nonsense
by Jamie Holmes • 2015
Certainty is a trap. What not knowing does for creativity, smarter choices, and avoiding disaster.
3.61
1k+
🧠 Cognitive Biases📊 Behavioral Economics💡 Creative Problem Solving🏢 Organizational Learning🤔 Intellectual Humility
Nonsense Summary
Nonsense 96%
Certainty is a trap. What not knowing does for creativity, smarter choices, and avoiding disaster.
by Jamie Holmes 2015
3.61
1k+ ratings
🧠 Cognitive Biases📊 Behavioral Economics💡 Creative Problem Solving🏢 Organizational Learning🤔 Intellectual Humility
Risk Savvy
by Gerd Gigerenzer • 2013
Most real life is uncertainty, not risk. Simple decision rules beat complex models there.
4.01
2k+
🧠 Decision Science🔍 Cognitive Biases📊 Risk Literacy📏 Simple Rules🌫️ Uncertainty
Risk Savvy Summary
Risk Savvy 96%
Most real life is uncertainty, not risk. Simple decision rules beat complex models there.
by Gerd Gigerenzer 2013
4.01
2k+ ratings
🧠 Decision Science🔍 Cognitive Biases📊 Risk Literacy📏 Simple Rules🌫️ Uncertainty
Factfulness
by Hans Rosling • 2018
A chimp guessing at random outperforms experts on global trends. The data tells a better story.
4.35
203k+
🌏 Global Development🧠 Cognitive Biases📊 Data Literacy📰 Negativity Bias⚠️ Risk Perception
Factfulness Summary
Factfulness 96%
A chimp guessing at random outperforms experts on global trends. The data tells a better story.
by Hans Rosling 2018
4.35
203k+ ratings
🌏 Global Development🧠 Cognitive Biases📊 Data Literacy📰 Negativity Bias⚠️ Risk Perception
May Contain Lies
by Alex Edmans • 2024
Why bad statistics and success stories feel convincing, and a systematic way to see through them.
4.11
1k+
🧠 Cognitive Biases🤔 Critical Thinking📰 Misinformation📊 Statistical Literacy🛒 Behavioral Economics
May Contain Lies Summary
May Contain Lies 95%
Why bad statistics and success stories feel convincing, and a systematic way to see through them.
by Alex Edmans 2024
4.11
1k+ ratings
🧠 Cognitive Biases🤔 Critical Thinking📰 Misinformation📊 Statistical Literacy🛒 Behavioral Economics
Framers
by Kenneth Cukier • 2021
AI can't ask 'what if.' That single gap explains why humans remain irreplaceable.
3.53
568
🧠 Mental Models🔬 Decision Science🤖 Human Vs Machine🔗 Causal Reasoning🌐 Cognitive Diversity
Framers Summary
Framers 95%
AI can't ask 'what if.' That single gap explains why humans remain irreplaceable.
by Kenneth Cukier 2021
3.53
568 ratings
🧠 Mental Models🔬 Decision Science🤖 Human Vs Machine🔗 Causal Reasoning🌐 Cognitive Diversity
100 mental models
by Wisdom Theory
Why a hundred borrowed concepts from physics, economics, and psychology beat expertise alone.
4.00
105
🧠 Mental Models🧩 Cognitive Biases🧭 Decision Frameworks🔄 Systems Thinking📉 Behavioral Economics
100 mental models Summary
100 mental models 95%
Why a hundred borrowed concepts from physics, economics, and psychology beat expertise alone.
by Wisdom Theory
4.00
105 ratings
🧠 Mental Models🧩 Cognitive Biases🧭 Decision Frameworks🔄 Systems Thinking📉 Behavioral Economics
Rationality
by Steven Pinker • 2021
How a single mental toolkit built science, law, and democracy, and why it keeps short-circuiting.
3.84
7k+
🧠 Cognitive Biases📊 Bayesian Reasoning🎯 Game Theory📈 Statistical Thinking🛡️ Motivated Reasoning
Rationality Summary
Rationality 95%
How a single mental toolkit built science, law, and democracy, and why it keeps short-circuiting.
by Steven Pinker 2021
3.84
7k+ ratings
🧠 Cognitive Biases📊 Bayesian Reasoning🎯 Game Theory📈 Statistical Thinking🛡️ Motivated Reasoning
Mindware
by Richard E. Nisbett • 2015
You don't perceive reality. You construct it, using mental shortcuts you never knew you had.
3.75
2k+
🧠 Cognitive Biases🧩 Mental Models💰 Behavioral Economics⚖️ Decision Science🌏 Cultural Psychology
Mindware Summary
Mindware 95%
You don't perceive reality. You construct it, using mental shortcuts you never knew you had.
by Richard E. Nisbett 2015
3.75
2k+ ratings
🧠 Cognitive Biases🧩 Mental Models💰 Behavioral Economics⚖️ Decision Science🌏 Cultural Psychology
How to Actually Change Your Mind
by Eliezer Yudkowsky • 2018
Humble confession changes nothing. The specific moves that actually correct your thinking.
4.28
294
🧠 Cognitive Biases🎯 Rationality Training🙇 Epistemic Humility📊 Bayesian Reasoning🎭 Motivated Reasoning
How to Actually Change Your Mind Summary
How to Actually Change Your Mind 95%
Humble confession changes nothing. The specific moves that actually correct your thinking.
by Eliezer Yudkowsky 2018
4.28
294 ratings
🧠 Cognitive Biases🎯 Rationality Training🙇 Epistemic Humility📊 Bayesian Reasoning🎭 Motivated Reasoning
The Failure of Risk Management
by Douglas W. Hubbard • 2009
Standard risk management makes decisions worse than guessing. The fix is simpler than you think.
3.95
413
🛡️ Risk Management📊 Quantitative Risk🧠 Cognitive Biases🔍 Decision Analysis📐 Bayesian Methods
The Failure of Risk Management Summary
The Failure of Risk Management 95%
Standard risk management makes decisions worse than guessing. The fix is simpler than you think.
by Douglas W. Hubbard 2009
3.95
413 ratings
🛡️ Risk Management📊 Quantitative Risk🧠 Cognitive Biases🔍 Decision Analysis📐 Bayesian Methods
Why We Make Mistakes
by Joseph T. Hallinan • 2009
Your brain edits reality, rewrites your memories, and is certain you're above average.
3.91
9k+
🧠 Cognitive Biases📊 Behavioral Economics✅ Error Reduction🎯 Attention Management🧩 Memory Fallibility
Why We Make Mistakes Summary
Why We Make Mistakes 95%
Your brain edits reality, rewrites your memories, and is certain you're above average.
by Joseph T. Hallinan 2009
3.91
9k+ ratings
🧠 Cognitive Biases📊 Behavioral Economics✅ Error Reduction🎯 Attention Management🧩 Memory Fallibility
Farsighted
by Steven Johnson • 2018
Why our biggest choices flunk the pro/con list, and what works: mapping, rehearsal, fiction.
3.55
2k+
🧠 Decision Science🗺️ Strategic Planning⏳ Long-Term Thinking🔮 Scenario Planning📊 Behavioral Economics
Farsighted Summary
Farsighted 95%
Why our biggest choices flunk the pro/con list, and what works: mapping, rehearsal, fiction.
by Steven Johnson 2018
3.55
2k+ ratings
🧠 Decision Science🗺️ Strategic Planning⏳ Long-Term Thinking🔮 Scenario Planning📊 Behavioral Economics
Streetlights and Shadows
by Gary Klein • 2009
Complex situations demand a different decision playbook. One built on recognition, not comparison.
4.28
321
🧠 Intuition And Analysis🔍 Sensemaking📊 Behavioral Economics🏋️ Expertise Development🛡️ Risk And Resilience
Streetlights and Shadows Summary
Streetlights and Shadows 95%
Complex situations demand a different decision playbook. One built on recognition, not comparison.
by Gary Klein 2009
4.28
321 ratings
🧠 Intuition And Analysis🔍 Sensemaking📊 Behavioral Economics🏋️ Expertise Development🛡️ Risk And Resilience
Psychology of Intelligence Analysis
by Richards J. Heuer Jr. • 2005
CIA's textbook for outthinking your own limits: structured methods that catch what intuition misses.
4.27
1k+
🕵️ Intelligence Analysis🧠 Cognitive Biases📊 Structured Analysis🗺️ Mental Models🧪 Cognitive Psychology
Psychology of Intelligence Analysis Summary
Psychology of Intelligence Analysis 95%
CIA's textbook for outthinking your own limits: structured methods that catch what intuition misses.
by Richards J. Heuer Jr. 2005
4.27
1k+ ratings
🕵️ Intelligence Analysis🧠 Cognitive Biases📊 Structured Analysis🗺️ Mental Models🧪 Cognitive Psychology
The Invisible Gorilla
by Christopher Chabris • 2010
Your memory rewrites the past, your confidence hides incompetence, and there's a gorilla nobody saw.
3.91
15k+
🧠 Cognitive Biases👀 Attention Management💭 Memory Fallibility😎 Overconfidence🔍 Scientific Skepticism
The Invisible Gorilla Summary
The Invisible Gorilla 95%
Your memory rewrites the past, your confidence hides incompetence, and there's a gorilla nobody saw.
by Christopher Chabris 2010
3.91
15k+ ratings
🧠 Cognitive Biases👀 Attention Management💭 Memory Fallibility😎 Overconfidence🔍 Scientific Skepticism
Don't Believe Everything You Think
by Thomas Kida • 2006
Your brain hunts for stories, ignores stats, and rewrites its memories. Skepticism is the repair.
3.82
853
🧠 Cognitive Biases🔬 Scientific Skepticism💡 Critical Thinking🎲 Probability And Chance🧩 Memory Fallibility
Don't Believe Everything You Think Summary
Don't Believe Everything You Think 95%
Your brain hunts for stories, ignores stats, and rewrites its memories. Skepticism is the repair.
by Thomas Kida 2006
3.82
853 ratings
🧠 Cognitive Biases🔬 Scientific Skepticism💡 Critical Thinking🎲 Probability And Chance🧩 Memory Fallibility
Thinking and Deciding
by Jonathan Baron • 2007
A psychologist's guide to mental shortcuts that fail, and the rules that repair them.
4.06
320
🧠 Cognitive Biases🧱 Mental Models📊 Decision Frameworks⚙️ Productivity Methods🧩 Problem Solving
Thinking and Deciding Summary
Thinking and Deciding 95%
A psychologist's guide to mental shortcuts that fail, and the rules that repair them.
by Jonathan Baron 2007
4.06
320 ratings
🧠 Cognitive Biases🧱 Mental Models📊 Decision Frameworks⚙️ Productivity Methods🧩 Problem Solving
Uncharted
by Margaret Heffernan • 2020
Why the best leaders swap predictions for experiments, scenarios, and collective preparation.
3.64
458
📋 Scenario Planning🧪 Experimentation Culture🏛️ Long-Term Thinking🧠 Cognitive Biases👥 Collective Intelligence
Uncharted Summary
Uncharted 95%
Why the best leaders swap predictions for experiments, scenarios, and collective preparation.
by Margaret Heffernan 2020
3.64
458 ratings
📋 Scenario Planning🧪 Experimentation Culture🏛️ Long-Term Thinking🧠 Cognitive Biases👥 Collective Intelligence
How Not to Be Wrong
by Jordan Ellenberg • 2014
Your brain defaults to straight lines. Math reveals the curves that keep you from being wrong.
3.95
22k+
🧮 Mathematical Thinking📊 Statistical Thinking🧠 Cognitive Biases🎲 Probability And Risk🔄 Bayesian Thinking
How Not to Be Wrong Summary
How Not to Be Wrong 95%
Your brain defaults to straight lines. Math reveals the curves that keep you from being wrong.
by Jordan Ellenberg 2014
3.95
22k+ ratings
🧮 Mathematical Thinking📊 Statistical Thinking🧠 Cognitive Biases🎲 Probability And Risk🔄 Bayesian Thinking
Radical Uncertainty
by Mervyn A. King • 2020
When the future is genuinely unknowable, stories guide us better than probability ever could.
3.86
1k+
📘 Knightian Uncertainty📖 Narrative Reasoning🧠 Behavioral Economics🗺️ Scenario Planning🐝 Collective Intelligence
Radical Uncertainty Summary
Radical Uncertainty 95%
When the future is genuinely unknowable, stories guide us better than probability ever could.
by Mervyn A. King 2020
3.86
1k+ ratings
📘 Knightian Uncertainty📖 Narrative Reasoning🧠 Behavioral Economics🗺️ Scenario Planning🐝 Collective Intelligence
The Undoing Project
by Michael Lewis • 2016
Two men, one mind. The friendship that mapped the hidden flaws in every human judgment.
3.99
64k+
🧠 Behavioral Economics🔬 Cognitive Psychology⚠️ Cognitive Biases🎲 Risk Perception📖 Intellectual Biography
The Undoing Project Summary
The Undoing Project 95%
Two men, one mind. The friendship that mapped the hidden flaws in every human judgment.
by Michael Lewis 2016
3.99
64k+ ratings
🧠 Behavioral Economics🔬 Cognitive Psychology⚠️ Cognitive Biases🎲 Risk Perception📖 Intellectual Biography
How to Make the World Add Up
by Tim Harford • 2020
Bad statistics weaponize your feelings. Ten rules for seeing what the numbers actually say.
4.12
8k+
🧮 Statistical Literacy🧠 Cognitive Biases🔍 Data Skepticism💡 Behavioral Economics💰 Economic Thinking
How to Make the World Add Up Summary
How to Make the World Add Up 95%
Bad statistics weaponize your feelings. Ten rules for seeing what the numbers actually say.
by Tim Harford 2020
4.12
8k+ ratings
🧮 Statistical Literacy🧠 Cognitive Biases🔍 Data Skepticism💡 Behavioral Economics💰 Economic Thinking
A Field Guide to Lies and Statistics
by Daniel J. Levitin • 2016
How to spot the tricks in any graph, survey, or news report before they fool you.
3.76
5k+
🔍 Information Literacy💡 Critical Thinking🤔 Cognitive Biases🔬 Scientific Skepticism📊 Statistical Literacy
A Field Guide to Lies and Statistics Summary
A Field Guide to Lies and Statistics 95%
How to spot the tricks in any graph, survey, or news report before they fool you.
by Daniel J. Levitin 2016
3.76
5k+ ratings
🔍 Information Literacy💡 Critical Thinking🤔 Cognitive Biases🔬 Scientific Skepticism📊 Statistical Literacy
Never Go With Your Gut
by Gleb Tsipursky • 2019
Your gut is for survival, not strategy. Override the biases that cost 10 percent of revenue.
4.12
259
🧠 Cognitive Biases📊 Behavioral Economics💼 Business Decisions📋 Evidence-Based Management🔧 Decision Frameworks
Never Go With Your Gut Summary
Never Go With Your Gut 95%
Your gut is for survival, not strategy. Override the biases that cost 10 percent of revenue.
by Gleb Tsipursky 2019
4.12
259 ratings
🧠 Cognitive Biases📊 Behavioral Economics💼 Business Decisions📋 Evidence-Based Management🔧 Decision Frameworks
Maxims for Thinking Analytically
by Dan Levy • 2021
Extreme cases and simple division: Harvard legend's toolkit for sharper thinking amid uncertainty.
3.92
583
🧠 Decision Science📋 Policy Analysis🎲 Probabilistic Thinking🔍 Cognitive Biases🧩 Mental Models
Maxims for Thinking Analytically Summary
Maxims for Thinking Analytically 95%
Extreme cases and simple division: Harvard legend's toolkit for sharper thinking amid uncertainty.
by Dan Levy 2021
3.92
583 ratings
🧠 Decision Science📋 Policy Analysis🎲 Probabilistic Thinking🔍 Cognitive Biases🧩 Mental Models
HBR Guide to Critical Thinking
by Harvard Business Review • 2023
Why assumptions trap you, and how to escape before you decide: HBR guide to clearer thinking.
3.92
198
🧠 Critical Thinking🤔 Decision Making🧐 Cognitive Biases🧩 Problem Solving📚 Behavioral Economics
HBR Guide to Critical Thinking Summary
HBR Guide to Critical Thinking 95%
Why assumptions trap you, and how to escape before you decide: HBR guide to clearer thinking.
by Harvard Business Review 2023
3.92
198 ratings
🧠 Critical Thinking🤔 Decision Making🧐 Cognitive Biases🧩 Problem Solving📚 Behavioral Economics
Noise
by Daniel Kahneman • 2021
You know about bias. The bigger judgment error is noise: the random scatter no one is auditing.
3.67
17k+
📊 Decision Science🏢 Organizational Behavior🧠 Behavioral Economics📢 Noise And Bias🎯 Error Reduction
Noise Summary
Noise 95%
You know about bias. The bigger judgment error is noise: the random scatter no one is auditing.
by Daniel Kahneman 2021
3.67
17k+ ratings
📊 Decision Science🏢 Organizational Behavior🧠 Behavioral Economics📢 Noise And Bias🎯 Error Reduction
The Science of Fear
by Daniel Gardner • 2008
Life has never been safer, but our ancient brains keep us afraid of the wrong things.
3.96
6k+
🎯 Risk Perception🧠 Cognitive Biases😱 Psychology Of Fear💰 Behavioral Economics👥 Social Influence
The Science of Fear Summary
The Science of Fear 94%
Life has never been safer, but our ancient brains keep us afraid of the wrong things.
by Daniel Gardner 2008
3.96
6k+ ratings
🎯 Risk Perception🧠 Cognitive Biases😱 Psychology Of Fear💰 Behavioral Economics👥 Social Influence
Thinking Fast and Slow in 30 Minutes - The Expert Guide to Daniel Kahneman's Critically Acclaimed Book
by The 30 Minute Expert Series • 2013
You jump to conclusions because you're wired to. Those jumps follow a script you can learn.
3.87
31
📉 Behavioral Economics🧩 Cognitive Biases🗺 Heuristics🔬 Dual Process Theory💸 Loss Aversion
Thinking Fast and Slow in 30 Minutes - The Expert Guide to Daniel Kahneman's Critically Acclaimed Book Summary
Thinking Fast and Slow in 30 Minutes - The Expert Guide to Daniel Kahneman's Critically Acclaimed Book 94%
You jump to conclusions because you're wired to. Those jumps follow a script you can learn.
by The 30 Minute Expert Series 2013
3.87
31 ratings
📉 Behavioral Economics🧩 Cognitive Biases🗺 Heuristics🔬 Dual Process Theory💸 Loss Aversion
An Economist Walks into a Brothel
by Allison Schrager • 2019
An economist sizes up risk in brothels, poker rooms, and monster waves, then hands us the rules.
3.56
2k+
🧠 Behavioral Economics⚖️ Risk Management📈 Everyday Economics🔍 Cognitive Biases☁️ Uncertainty And Risk
An Economist Walks into a Brothel Summary
An Economist Walks into a Brothel 94%
An economist sizes up risk in brothels, poker rooms, and monster waves, then hands us the rules.
by Allison Schrager 2019
3.56
2k+ ratings
🧠 Behavioral Economics⚖️ Risk Management📈 Everyday Economics🔍 Cognitive Biases☁️ Uncertainty And Risk
Tune In
by Nuala Walsh • 2024
Hear what your mind erases: a playbook to stop sabotaging the decisions that matter most.
4.30
122
🧠 Cognitive Biases📈 Behavioral Economics🎯 Attention Management📊 Information Overload👥 Groupthink
Tune In Summary
Tune In 94%
Hear what your mind erases: a playbook to stop sabotaging the decisions that matter most.
by Nuala Walsh 2024
4.30
122 ratings
🧠 Cognitive Biases📈 Behavioral Economics🎯 Attention Management📊 Information Overload👥 Groupthink
Think Again
by Adam M. Grant • 2021
The people who get the most things right are the fastest to admit they were wrong.
4.13
150k+
🧠 Cognitive Biases🤲 Intellectual Humility💭 Changing Minds🔄 Updating Beliefs🏢 Organizational Psychology
Think Again Summary
Think Again 94%
The people who get the most things right are the fastest to admit they were wrong.
by Adam M. Grant 2021
4.13
150k+ ratings
🧠 Cognitive Biases🤲 Intellectual Humility💭 Changing Minds🔄 Updating Beliefs🏢 Organizational Psychology
The Yellow Pad
by Robert E. Rubin • 2023
A yellow pad and honest odds: the method that steered Goldman Sachs and the White House.
3.70
268
📊 Decision Frameworks⚠️ Risk Management🎲 Thinking In Probabilities🧠 Cognitive Biases🚨 Crisis Leadership
The Yellow Pad Summary
The Yellow Pad 94%
A yellow pad and honest odds: the method that steered Goldman Sachs and the White House.
by Robert E. Rubin 2023
3.70
268 ratings
📊 Decision Frameworks⚠️ Risk Management🎲 Thinking In Probabilities🧠 Cognitive Biases🚨 Crisis Leadership
How Spies Think
by David Omand • 2020
From a former GCHQ chief: how spies structure their thinking to outsmart lies and cognitive traps.
3.62
832
🕵️ Intelligence Analysis🧠 Cognitive Biases📢 Disinformation🌀 Conspiracy Thinking📈 Bayesian Reasoning
How Spies Think Summary
How Spies Think 94%
From a former GCHQ chief: how spies structure their thinking to outsmart lies and cognitive traps.
by David Omand 2020
3.62
832 ratings
🕵️ Intelligence Analysis🧠 Cognitive Biases📢 Disinformation🌀 Conspiracy Thinking📈 Bayesian Reasoning
Sway
by Ori Brafman • 2008
Seven invisible biases that make rational people overpay, overstay, and reject free money.
3.78
20k+
💰 Behavioral Economics🧠 Cognitive Biases👀 Value Perception🗣️ Groupthink🎯 Incentive Design
Sway Summary
Sway 94%
Seven invisible biases that make rational people overpay, overstay, and reject free money.
by Ori Brafman 2008
3.78
20k+ ratings
💰 Behavioral Economics🧠 Cognitive Biases👀 Value Perception🗣️ Groupthink🎯 Incentive Design
How We Know What Isn't So
by Thomas Gilovich • 1991
The mind finds pattern in noise, then argues for it with absolute conviction.
3.95
3k+
🧠 Cognitive Biases❤️ Motivated Reasoning🎲 Randomness Perception🔬 Scientific Skepticism👥 Social Cognition
How We Know What Isn't So Summary
How We Know What Isn't So 94%
The mind finds pattern in noise, then argues for it with absolute conviction.
by Thomas Gilovich 1991
3.95
3k+ ratings
🧠 Cognitive Biases❤️ Motivated Reasoning🎲 Randomness Perception🔬 Scientific Skepticism👥 Social Cognition
Your Brain Is Playing Tricks On You
by Albert Moukheiber • 2019
Reality is your brain's best guess. Its shortcuts are predictable, and spotting them is trainable.
3.85
803
🧠 Cognitive Biases🔍 Critical Thinking📰 Misinformation⚡ Mental Shortcuts🤲 Intellectual Humility
Your Brain Is Playing Tricks On You Summary
Your Brain Is Playing Tricks On You 94%
Reality is your brain's best guess. Its shortcuts are predictable, and spotting them is trainable.
by Albert Moukheiber 2019
3.85
803 ratings
🧠 Cognitive Biases🔍 Critical Thinking📰 Misinformation⚡ Mental Shortcuts🤲 Intellectual Humility
The Gray Rhino
by Michele Wucker • 2016
Obvious, predictable threats destroy more than surprises do, and we ignore them anyway.
3.57
391
🛡️ Risk Management🚨 Crisis Leadership🧠 Cognitive Biases📊 Behavioral Economics🔗 Systems Thinking
The Gray Rhino Summary
The Gray Rhino 94%
Obvious, predictable threats destroy more than surprises do, and we ignore them anyway.
by Michele Wucker 2016
3.57
391 ratings
🛡️ Risk Management🚨 Crisis Leadership🧠 Cognitive Biases📊 Behavioral Economics🔗 Systems Thinking
The Great Mental Models
by Shane Parrish • 2018
Nine thinking tools top performers reach for when the data stops and judgment takes over.
4.07
11k+
🧱 Mental Models🧠 Cognitive Biases⚖️ Decision Frameworks🔍 Critical Thinking🌐 Multidisciplinary Thinking
The Great Mental Models Summary
The Great Mental Models 94%
Nine thinking tools top performers reach for when the data stops and judgment takes over.
by Shane Parrish 2018
4.07
11k+ ratings
🧱 Mental Models🧠 Cognitive Biases⚖️ Decision Frameworks🔍 Critical Thinking🌐 Multidisciplinary Thinking
The Halo Effect
by Philip M. Rosenzweig • 2007
Celebrated business books share a fatal flaw: they mistake the glow of success for its cause.
3.89
6k+
🧠 Cognitive Biases🎲 Survivorship Bias📊 Evidence-Based Management♟️ Business Strategy🔍 Causal Inference
The Halo Effect Summary
The Halo Effect 94%
Celebrated business books share a fatal flaw: they mistake the glow of success for its cause.
by Philip M. Rosenzweig 2007
3.89
6k+ ratings
🧠 Cognitive Biases🎲 Survivorship Bias📊 Evidence-Based Management♟️ Business Strategy🔍 Causal Inference
Good Thinking
by David Robert Grimes • 2021
Bad logic corrupts medicine, politics, and media. A physicist shows how to spot it.
4.29
312
🧠 Cognitive Biases⚖️ Logical Fallacies🔬 Scientific Skepticism💭 Critical Thinking📰 Media Literacy
Good Thinking Summary
Good Thinking 94%
Bad logic corrupts medicine, politics, and media. A physicist shows how to spot it.
by David Robert Grimes 2021
4.29
312 ratings
🧠 Cognitive Biases⚖️ Logical Fallacies🔬 Scientific Skepticism💭 Critical Thinking📰 Media Literacy
Ergodicity
by Luca Dellanna • 2020
Why a bet that works for a hundred people destroys the one who repeats it.
4.05
314
🛡️ Risk Management🧠 Decision Theory🔬 Behavioral Economics🎲 Probability Thinking⏳ Long-Term Thinking
Ergodicity Summary
Ergodicity 94%
Why a bet that works for a hundred people destroys the one who repeats it.
by Luca Dellanna 2020
4.05
314 ratings
🛡️ Risk Management🧠 Decision Theory🔬 Behavioral Economics🎲 Probability Thinking⏳ Long-Term Thinking
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