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SoBrief
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The Norm Chronicles
by Michael Blastland • 2014
Why we fear plane crashes but not burgers: the stories and numbers behind your worst instincts.
3.59
564
The Norm Chronicles Summary
The Norm Chronicles 98%
Why we fear plane crashes but not burgers: the stories and numbers behind your worst instincts.
by Michael Blastland 2014
3.59
564 ratings
Risk Intelligence
by Dylan Evans • 2012
Your probability estimates are worse than you think. It's trainable, and the payoff is real.
3.71
256
Risk Intelligence Summary
Risk Intelligence 97%
Your probability estimates are worse than you think. It's trainable, and the payoff is real.
by Dylan Evans 2012
3.71
256 ratings
Chancing It
by Robert Matthews • 2017
How a formula from 17th-century gambling can tell you what any decision is worth.
3.81
227
Chancing It Summary
Chancing It 97%
How a formula from 17th-century gambling can tell you what any decision is worth.
by Robert Matthews 2017
3.81
227 ratings
Numbers Rule Your World
by Fung • 2010
Statistics reveals why lines feel shorter, credit scores work, and safe airlines are an illusion.
3.56
1k+
Numbers Rule Your World Summary
Numbers Rule Your World 97%
Statistics reveals why lines feel shorter, credit scores work, and safe airlines are an illusion.
by Fung 2010
3.56
1k+ ratings
Risk Savvy
by Gerd Gigerenzer • 2013
Most real life is uncertainty, not risk. Simple decision rules beat complex models there.
4.01
2k+
Risk Savvy Summary
Risk Savvy 97%
Most real life is uncertainty, not risk. Simple decision rules beat complex models there.
by Gerd Gigerenzer 2013
4.01
2k+ ratings
How Not to Be Wrong
by Jordan Ellenberg • 2014
Your brain defaults to straight lines. Math reveals the curves that keep you from being wrong.
3.95
22k+
How Not to Be Wrong Summary
How Not to Be Wrong 97%
Your brain defaults to straight lines. Math reveals the curves that keep you from being wrong.
by Jordan Ellenberg 2014
3.95
22k+ ratings
The Numbers Game
by Michael Blastland • 2008
Most numbers in the news mislead you; a few mental habits reveal the real story.
3.65
344
The Numbers Game Summary
The Numbers Game 97%
Most numbers in the news mislead you; a few mental habits reveal the real story.
by Michael Blastland 2008
3.65
344 ratings
Innumeracy
by John Allen Paulos • 1988
A lottery ticket, a medical test, a sensational statistic: when smart people can't do the math.
3.78
5k+
Innumeracy Summary
Innumeracy 96%
A lottery ticket, a medical test, a sensational statistic: when smart people can't do the math.
by John Allen Paulos 1988
3.78
5k+ ratings
How to Make the World Add Up
by Tim Harford • 2020
Bad statistics weaponize your feelings. Ten rules for seeing what the numbers actually say.
4.12
8k+
How to Make the World Add Up Summary
How to Make the World Add Up 96%
Bad statistics weaponize your feelings. Ten rules for seeing what the numbers actually say.
by Tim Harford 2020
4.12
8k+ ratings
The Tiger That Isn't
by Michael Blastland • 2007
A 40% increase sounds alarming. Should it? The simple questions that make numbers tell the truth.
3.91
670
The Tiger That Isn't Summary
The Tiger That Isn't 96%
A 40% increase sounds alarming. Should it? The simple questions that make numbers tell the truth.
by Michael Blastland 2007
3.91
670 ratings
The Math of Life and Death
by Kit Yates • 2019
Key mathematical ideas govern medicine, law, and media, and your intuition gets each one wrong.
3.90
2k+
The Math of Life and Death Summary
The Math of Life and Death 96%
Key mathematical ideas govern medicine, law, and media, and your intuition gets each one wrong.
by Kit Yates 2019
3.90
2k+ ratings
May Contain Lies
by Alex Edmans • 2024
Why bad statistics and success stories feel convincing, and a systematic way to see through them.
4.11
1k+
May Contain Lies Summary
May Contain Lies 95%
Why bad statistics and success stories feel convincing, and a systematic way to see through them.
by Alex Edmans 2024
4.11
1k+ ratings
How to Read Numbers
by Tom Chivers • 2021
Missing denominators, tiny samples, and the WWII plane error that bends every news stat.
4.32
478
How to Read Numbers Summary
How to Read Numbers 95%
Missing denominators, tiny samples, and the WWII plane error that bends every news stat.
by Tom Chivers 2021
4.32
478 ratings
Rationality
by Steven Pinker • 2021
How a single mental toolkit built science, law, and democracy, and why it keeps short-circuiting.
3.84
7k+
Rationality Summary
Rationality 95%
How a single mental toolkit built science, law, and democracy, and why it keeps short-circuiting.
by Steven Pinker 2021
3.84
7k+ ratings
A Mathematician Reads the Newspaper
by John Allen Paulos • 1997
The morning paper rests on hidden math. A mathematician reveals the numbers that change the story.
3.60
1k+
A Mathematician Reads the Newspaper Summary
A Mathematician Reads the Newspaper 95%
The morning paper rests on hidden math. A mathematician reveals the numbers that change the story.
by John Allen Paulos 1997
3.60
1k+ ratings
Good Thinking
by David Robert Grimes • 2021
Bad logic corrupts medicine, politics, and media. A physicist shows how to spot it.
4.29
312
Good Thinking Summary
Good Thinking 95%
Bad logic corrupts medicine, politics, and media. A physicist shows how to spot it.
by David Robert Grimes 2021
4.29
312 ratings
Irrationality
by Stuart Sutherland • 1992
Predictable mental errors everyone makes, from overconfidence to throwing good money after bad.
3.91
2k+
Irrationality Summary
Irrationality 95%
Predictable mental errors everyone makes, from overconfidence to throwing good money after bad.
by Stuart Sutherland 1992
3.91
2k+ ratings
Standard Deviations
by Gary Smith • 2014
Tortured data, seductive charts, and the cognitive bugs that turn noise into insight.
3.95
911
Standard Deviations Summary
Standard Deviations 95%
Tortured data, seductive charts, and the cognitive bugs that turn noise into insight.
by Gary Smith 2014
3.95
911 ratings
The Failure of Risk Management
by Douglas W. Hubbard • 2009
Standard risk management makes decisions worse than guessing. The fix is simpler than you think.
3.95
413
The Failure of Risk Management Summary
The Failure of Risk Management 95%
Standard risk management makes decisions worse than guessing. The fix is simpler than you think.
by Douglas W. Hubbard 2009
3.95
413 ratings
Maxims for Thinking Analytically
by Dan Levy • 2021
Extreme cases and simple division: Harvard legend's toolkit for sharper thinking amid uncertainty.
3.92
583
Maxims for Thinking Analytically Summary
Maxims for Thinking Analytically 94%
Extreme cases and simple division: Harvard legend's toolkit for sharper thinking amid uncertainty.
by Dan Levy 2021
3.92
583 ratings
So lügt man mit Statistik
by Walter Krämer • 1991
Precision, percentages, and pretty charts: a catalog of ways statistics are rigged to mislead you.
3.74
136
So lügt man mit Statistik Summary
So lügt man mit Statistik 94%
Precision, percentages, and pretty charts: a catalog of ways statistics are rigged to mislead you.
by Walter Krämer 1991
3.74
136 ratings
The Flaw of Averages
by Sam L. Savage • 2009
A single average can sink your plan. The missing skill: thinking in distributions.
3.86
574
The Flaw of Averages Summary
The Flaw of Averages 94%
A single average can sink your plan. The missing skill: thinking in distributions.
by Sam L. Savage 2009
3.86
574 ratings
Fooled by Randomness
by Nassim Nicholas Taleb • 2001
Ten thousand coin-flippers produce three hundred geniuses. The biographies write themselves.
4.08
72k+
Fooled by Randomness Summary
Fooled by Randomness 94%
Ten thousand coin-flippers produce three hundred geniuses. The biographies write themselves.
by Nassim Nicholas Taleb 2001
4.08
72k+ ratings
A Field Guide to Lies and Statistics
by Daniel J. Levitin • 2016
How to spot the tricks in any graph, survey, or news report before they fool you.
3.76
5k+
A Field Guide to Lies and Statistics Summary
A Field Guide to Lies and Statistics 94%
How to spot the tricks in any graph, survey, or news report before they fool you.
by Daniel J. Levitin 2016
3.76
5k+ ratings
How to Expect the Unexpected
by Kit Yates • 2023
Master the science of prediction: why your gut fails, and when the smartest forecast is none.
3.69
188
How to Expect the Unexpected Summary
How to Expect the Unexpected 94%
Master the science of prediction: why your gut fails, and when the smartest forecast is none.
by Kit Yates 2023
3.69
188 ratings
Factfulness
by Hans Rosling • 2018
A chimp guessing at random outperforms experts on global trends. The data tells a better story.
4.35
203k+
Factfulness Summary
Factfulness 94%
A chimp guessing at random outperforms experts on global trends. The data tells a better story.
by Hans Rosling 2018
4.35
203k+ ratings
Think Twice
by Michael J. Mauboussin • 2009
Smart people fail at decisions because the mind's ancient shortcuts misfire in modern complexity.
3.93
1k+
Think Twice Summary
Think Twice 94%
Smart people fail at decisions because the mind's ancient shortcuts misfire in modern complexity.
by Michael J. Mauboussin 2009
3.93
1k+ ratings
The Improbability Principle
by David J. Hand • 2014
Why do extremely unlikely events happen daily? A few hidden laws make the extraordinary routine.
3.73
2k+
The Improbability Principle Summary
The Improbability Principle 94%
Why do extremely unlikely events happen daily? A few hidden laws make the extraordinary routine.
by David J. Hand 2014
3.73
2k+ ratings
The Science of Fear
by Daniel Gardner • 2008
Life has never been safer, but our ancient brains keep us afraid of the wrong things.
3.96
6k+
The Science of Fear Summary
The Science of Fear 94%
Life has never been safer, but our ancient brains keep us afraid of the wrong things.
by Daniel Gardner 2008
3.96
6k+ ratings
How to Lie with Statistics
by Darrell Huff • 1954
The tricks behind every statistical lie you encounter, and the questions that expose them.
3.84
18k+
How to Lie with Statistics Summary
How to Lie with Statistics 94%
The tricks behind every statistical lie you encounter, and the questions that expose them.
by Darrell Huff 1954
3.84
18k+ ratings
Future Babble
by Dan Gardner • 2010
Confidence sells. Accuracy doesn't. Why the loudest experts are the worst forecasters.
3.79
737
Future Babble Summary
Future Babble 94%
Confidence sells. Accuracy doesn't. Why the loudest experts are the worst forecasters.
by Dan Gardner 2010
3.79
737 ratings
Perfectly Confident
by Don A. Moore • 2020
Confidence is a measurement problem: not how sure you feel, but how wrong you might be.
3.67
315
Perfectly Confident Summary
Perfectly Confident 94%
Confidence is a measurement problem: not how sure you feel, but how wrong you might be.
by Don A. Moore 2020
3.67
315 ratings
Rock Breaks Scissors
by William Poundstone • 2014
Why you can outguess anyone: the predictable mistakes we make when we try to be random.
3.50
772
Rock Breaks Scissors Summary
Rock Breaks Scissors 94%
Why you can outguess anyone: the predictable mistakes we make when we try to be random.
by William Poundstone 2014
3.50
772 ratings
Third Millennium Thinking
by Saul Perlmutter • 2024
Probability over certainty, groups over lone genius: a Nobel physicist's toolkit for clear thinking.
3.66
339
Third Millennium Thinking Summary
Third Millennium Thinking 94%
Probability over certainty, groups over lone genius: a Nobel physicist's toolkit for clear thinking.
by Saul Perlmutter 2024
3.66
339 ratings
The Drunkard's Walk
by Leonard Mlodinow • 2008
Success isn't as earned as you think. Probability decides more outcomes than talent ever does.
3.95
25k+
The Drunkard's Walk Summary
The Drunkard's Walk 94%
Success isn't as earned as you think. Probability decides more outcomes than talent ever does.
by Leonard Mlodinow 2008
3.95
25k+ ratings
Don't Believe Everything You Think
by Thomas Kida • 2006
Your brain hunts for stories, ignores stats, and rewrites its memories. Skepticism is the repair.
3.82
853
Don't Believe Everything You Think Summary
Don't Believe Everything You Think 94%
Your brain hunts for stories, ignores stats, and rewrites its memories. Skepticism is the repair.
by Thomas Kida 2006
3.82
853 ratings
An Economist Walks into a Brothel
by Allison Schrager • 2019
An economist sizes up risk in brothels, poker rooms, and monster waves, then hands us the rules.
3.56
2k+
An Economist Walks into a Brothel Summary
An Economist Walks into a Brothel 94%
An economist sizes up risk in brothels, poker rooms, and monster waves, then hands us the rules.
by Allison Schrager 2019
3.56
2k+ ratings
The Undoing Project
by Michael Lewis • 2016
Two men, one mind. The friendship that mapped the hidden flaws in every human judgment.
3.99
64k+
The Undoing Project Summary
The Undoing Project 94%
Two men, one mind. The friendship that mapped the hidden flaws in every human judgment.
by Michael Lewis 2016
3.99
64k+ ratings
A Survival Guide to the Misinformation Age
by David J. Helfand • 2016
Mental tools from science that let you gut-check any claim yourself, no search engine required.
3.71
220
A Survival Guide to the Misinformation Age Summary
A Survival Guide to the Misinformation Age 94%
Mental tools from science that let you gut-check any claim yourself, no search engine required.
by David J. Helfand 2016
3.71
220 ratings
Thinking 101
by Woo-Kyoung Ahn • 2022
Your brain is wired for survival, not accuracy, and its errors are predictable.
3.82
2k+
Thinking 101 Summary
Thinking 101 94%
Your brain is wired for survival, not accuracy, and its errors are predictable.
by Woo-Kyoung Ahn 2022
3.82
2k+ ratings
How We Know What Isn't So
by Thomas Gilovich • 1991
The mind finds pattern in noise, then argues for it with absolute conviction.
3.95
3k+
How We Know What Isn't So Summary
How We Know What Isn't So 94%
The mind finds pattern in noise, then argues for it with absolute conviction.
by Thomas Gilovich 1991
3.95
3k+ ratings
Thinking Fast and Slow in 30 Minutes - The Expert Guide to Daniel Kahneman's Critically Acclaimed Book
by The 30 Minute Expert Series • 2013
You jump to conclusions because you're wired to. Those jumps follow a script you can learn.
3.87
31
Thinking Fast and Slow in 30 Minutes - The Expert Guide to Daniel Kahneman's Critically Acclaimed Book Summary
Thinking Fast and Slow in 30 Minutes - The Expert Guide to Daniel Kahneman's Critically Acclaimed Book 94%
You jump to conclusions because you're wired to. Those jumps follow a script you can learn.
by The 30 Minute Expert Series 2013
3.87
31 ratings
The Laws of Medicine
by Siddhartha Mukherjee • 2015
Why a strong hunch beats a weak test, and other laws of a science built on uncertainty.
4.07
5k+
The Laws of Medicine Summary
The Laws of Medicine 94%
Why a strong hunch beats a weak test, and other laws of a science built on uncertainty.
by Siddhartha Mukherjee 2015
4.07
5k+ ratings
Why We Make Mistakes
by Joseph T. Hallinan • 2009
Your brain edits reality, rewrites your memories, and is certain you're above average.
3.91
9k+
Why We Make Mistakes Summary
Why We Make Mistakes 93%
Your brain edits reality, rewrites your memories, and is certain you're above average.
by Joseph T. Hallinan 2009
3.91
9k+ ratings
Framers
by Kenneth Cukier • 2021
AI can't ask 'what if.' That single gap explains why humans remain irreplaceable.
3.53
568
Framers Summary
Framers 93%
AI can't ask 'what if.' That single gap explains why humans remain irreplaceable.
by Kenneth Cukier 2021
3.53
568 ratings
Everything Is Predictable
by Tom Chivers • 2024
The math behind your spam filter also reveals that your brain is hallucinating reality.
4.02
1k+
Everything Is Predictable Summary
Everything Is Predictable 93%
The math behind your spam filter also reveals that your brain is hallucinating reality.
by Tom Chivers 2024
4.02
1k+ ratings
Calling Bullshit
by Carl T. Bergstrom • 2020
Numbers and algorithms are the new bullshit. Two scientists hand you the detection kit.
4.10
5k+
Calling Bullshit Summary
Calling Bullshit 93%
Numbers and algorithms are the new bullshit. Two scientists hand you the detection kit.
by Carl T. Bergstrom 2020
4.10
5k+ ratings
How Doctors Think
by Jerome Groopman • 2007
Why doctors misdiagnose, and the simple questions that can stop a cognitive error cold.
3.93
13k+
How Doctors Think Summary
How Doctors Think 93%
Why doctors misdiagnose, and the simple questions that can stop a cognitive error cold.
by Jerome Groopman 2007
3.93
13k+ ratings
Making Numbers Count
by Chip Heath • 2022
Most numbers die the moment they're spoken. A handful of translation moves make them unforgettable.
3.87
3k+
Making Numbers Count Summary
Making Numbers Count 93%
Most numbers die the moment they're spoken. A handful of translation moves make them unforgettable.
by Chip Heath 2022
3.87
3k+ ratings
Superforecasting
by Philip E. Tetlock • 2015
30% more accurate than CIA analysts: the trainable habits that predict the future.
4.08
22k+
Superforecasting Summary
Superforecasting 93%
30% more accurate than CIA analysts: the trainable habits that predict the future.
by Philip E. Tetlock 2015
4.08
22k+ ratings
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